Table 3

Association between NSEP scores (IQR) and transitions within multistate Markov regression models

Model 1Model 2
Transition statesHR (95% CI)HR (95% CI)
Normal (no diabetes)—pre-diabetes1.01 (0.85 to 1.19)1.05 (0.88 to 1.26)
Normal (no diabetes)—diabetes1.53 (1.07 to 2.20)*1.66 (1.14 to 2.42)**
Normal—death without diabetes0.61 (0.43 to 0.85)**0.56 (0.33 to 0.96)*
Pre-diabetes—normal (no diabetes)1.26 (1.04 to 1.52)*1.22 (0.99 to 1.50)
Pre-diabetes—diabetes0.80 (0.62 to 1.05)0.83 (0.62 to 1.10)
Pre-diabetes—death without diabetes0.62 (0.35 to 1.10)0.76 (0.40 to 1.44)
Log likelihood7421.4526469.601
  • Model 1 NSEP (7 units).

  • Model 2 is model 1 adjusted for BMI, age, education in years, physical activity summary score, smoking status (ever/never), any alcohol consumption, medical insurance (yes/no) and nativity (US born/Mexican born).

  • *p<0.05; ** p<0.001.

  • BMI, body mass index; NSEP, neighbourhood socioeconomic position.