Table 3

All-cause mortality risk from heat according to sex, educational level and job status

All regionsCluster H†Cluster MCluster C
1996–20002008–20121996–20002008–20121996–20002008–20121996–20002008–2012
Variable*GroupRR (95% CI)RR (95% CI)RR (95% CI)RR (95% CI)RR (95% CI)RR (95% CI)RR (95% CI)RR (95% CI)
(Threshold=33.5°C)(Threshold=33.5°C)(Threshold=32.5°C)(Threshold=30.5°C)
SexMale1.01(0.96 to 1.05)1.05(1.03 to 1.07)1.06(0.99 to 1.13)1.10(1.04 to 1.16)1.05(1.00 to 1.1)1.02(1.00 to 1.04)1.01(0.99 to 1.03)1.01(0.99 to 1.03)
Female1.02(0.98 to 1.08)1.07(1.04 to 1.09)1.07(1.00 to 1.15)1.09(1.03 to 1.15)1.03(0.97 to 1.09)1.03(0.99 to 1.08)1.02(1.00 to 1.04)1.02(0.98 to 1.06)
(Threshold=29.5°C)(Threshold=29.5°C)(Threshold=30.5°C)(Threshold=29.5°C)
Education levelNone1.02(1.01 to 1.03)1.04(1.03 to 1.05)1.02(1.01 to 1.04)1.04(1.03 to 1.06)1.04(1.02 to 1.06)1.04(1.01 to 1.06)1.01(0.99 to 1.04)1.02(0.99 to 1.05)
Elementary0.99(0.99 to 1.00)1.01(1.01 to 1.02)1.01(1.00 to 1.01)1.01(1.00 to 1.03)1.01(0.99 to 1.03)1.01(1.00 to 1.03)1.02(1.00 to 1.04)1.01(0.99 to 1.03)
≥6th grade0.99(0.98 to 1.00)1.01(1.00 to 1.02)1.02(1.01 to 1.02)1.01(0.99 to 1.03)1.01(0.99 to 1.02)1.01(1.00 to 1.02)1.05(0.99 to 1.11)1.01(0.95 to 1.07)
(Threshold=30.5°C)(Threshold=30.5°C)(Threshold=30.5°C)(Threshold=29.5°C)
Job status‡White-collar1.01(0.99 to 1.03)1.01(0.99 to 1.02)1.03(1.00 to 1.05)1.02(0.99 to 1.04)1.05(1.00 to 1.12)1.03(1.00 to 1.06)1.04(0.99 to 1.1)1.01(0.97 to 1.06)
Blue-collar1.01(0.99 to 1.02)1.06(1.04 to 1.07)1.02(0.99 to 1.04)1.05(1.02 to 1.08)1.01(0.99 to 1.02)1.05(1.03 to 1.08)1.02(1.01 to 1.04)1.02(1.00 to 1.04)
  • Significant values (p<0.05) are indicated in bold.

  • *Possible confounders were adjusted in the model; these included individual maximum temperature until 3 lag-days, average maximum temperature during 4–7 lag-days, humidity, pressure, daily concentrations of air pollutants (PM10 and O3), year, month, holidays and weekends.

  • †Clusters H, M and C represent the hottest, moderate and coolest clusters, respectively.

  • ‡White-collar jobs include management, office, scientific and service occupations. Blue-collar jobs include agricultural, manufacturing or manual work.

  • PM10, particles smaller than 10 µm.