Table 2

Determinants of regular smoking initiation for males (ORs)

(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)
LogitLogitSplit populationLogitLogit
Price of cigarettes0.984***0.983***0.990***0.975***0.970***
(0.003)(0.004)(0.003)(0.008)(0.008)
Rural1.0001.0001.0001.0001.000
Urban1.232***1.267***1.336***1.548***1.467***
(0.051)(0.053)(0.052)(0.163)(0.156)
Parents: primary/no education1.0001.0001.0001.0001.000
Parents: incomplete secondary education1.0390.9971.0300.834*0.894
(0.050)(0.047)(0.063)(0.085)(0.091)
Parents: complete secondary education0.9600.8890.9180.9541.041
(0.077)(0.071)(0.100)(0.168)(0.186)
Parents: at least some tertiary education0.774***0.730***0.743***0.677*0.757
(0.076)(0.071)(0.124)(0.137)(0.154)
Illiterate1.0001.0001.0001.0001.000
Literate0.615***0.598***0.571***0.683***0.716***
(0.031)(0.030)(0.058)(0.082)(0.087)
Mother alive when respondent was 151.0001.0001.0001.0001.000
Mother died before respondent was 151.0911.0751.0471.7311.482
(0.103)(0.098)(0.103)(0.626)(0.523)
Confidence in the economy0.980***0.974***0.972***0.9900.992
(0.005)(0.005)(0.005)(0.015)(0.015)
Neither parent has ever smoked1.000
Either parent was ever a smoker1.943***
(0.200)
Duration dependency (temporal dummies)YesNoYesNoNo
Duration dependency (fourth-order polynomial)NoYesNoYesYes
Controls for raceYesYesYesYesYes
Controls for duration dependency and race group interactionsYesYesNoYesYes
Number of individuals77717771777117321732
Number of person-period observations96 29896 42696 42618 26218 262
Pseudo R20.1000.1020.1150.124
Price elasticity of initiation−0.21***−0.23***−0.41***−0.47***
  • Source: National Income Dynamics Study (NIDS) wave 1 (2008), wave 2 (2010) and wave 3 (2012).

  • *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01.