Table 3

Estimated CHD deaths prevented by achieving risk factor policy options for lower mortality change scenario, by sex, in Turkey

Modest scenarioIdeal scenario
Risk factorsMen (95% CI)Women (95% CI)Total (95% CI)%Men (95% CI)Women (95% CI)Total (95% CI)%
Salt intake4010 (3780 to 4250)5125 (4565 to 5710)9135 (8345 to 9960)35.66850 (6500 to 7225)8415 (7545 to 9280)15 265 (14 045 to 16 505)33.2
Saturated/unsaturated fat1625 (1565 to 1705)2115 (2050 to 2170)3740 (3615 to 3875)14.63325 (3200 to 3470)4365 (4205 to 4505)7690 (7405 to 7975)16.7
Fruit and vegetable1895 (1065 to 2705)1595 (805 to 2415)3490 (1870 to 5120)13.64945 (2720 to 7160)4150 (2065 to 6410)9095 (4785 to 13 570)19.8
Diabetes2745 (2150 to 3385)2615 (1890 to 3330)5360 (4040 to 6715)20.93265 (2600 to 3970)3150 (2325 to 3945)6415 (4925 to 7915)14.0
BMI420 (−5 to 850)360 (−195 to 910)780 (−200 to 1760)3.1840 (445 to 1230)715 (195 to 1240)1555 (640 to 2470)3.4
Smoking640 (535 to 750)495 (405 to 580)1135 (940 to 1330)4.41315 (1095 to 1540)710 (590 to 835)2025 (1685 to 2375)4.4
Physical inactivity1270 (1060 to 1520)725 (620 to 845)1995 (1680 to 2365)7.82485 (2080 to 2975)1420 (1220 to 1660)3905 (3300 to 4635)8.5
Total12 605 (10 145 to 15 165)13 030 (10 145 to 15 960)25 635 (20 290 to 31 125)100.023 025 (18 635 to 27 575)22 925 (18 145 to 27 875)45 950 (36 780 to 55 450)100.0
  • BMI, body mass index; CHD, coronary heart disease.