Table 4

Estimated deseasoned hospital admissions rates per 1000 people prior to and post the change point, together with the estimated monthly increase in deseasoned hospital admission rates per 1000 people in the periods prior to and post the change point for the CDHB population in total and stratified by sex and age groups over the 2008–2014 period

Deseasoned admission rates at change pointMonthly increase in deseasoned admission rates
PriorPostPosteriorPrior to change pointPost change pointPosterior
Estimate(95% CR)Estimate(95% CR)ProbabilityEstimate(95% CR)Estimate(95% CR)Probility
All6.59(6.45–6.73)5.83(5.70–5.95)>0.9990.026(0.020–0.032)0.014(0.009–0.019)0.998
Sex
 Female6.42(6.27–6.58)5.63(5.49–5.78)>0.9990.025(0.018–0.032)0.017(0.012–0.022)0.959
 Male6.75(6.59–6.90)6.01(5.86–6.15)>0.9990.026(0.019–0.033)0.011(0.006–0.016)>0.999
Age (years)
 0–145.65(5.31–5.98)5.29(4.98–5.60)0.9380.030(0.015–0.045)0.014(0.003–0.026)0.948
 15–343.75(3.58–3.92)3.36(3.21–3.52)>0.9990.020(0.012–0.028)0.016(0.010–0.022)0.78
 35–644.63(4.50–4.76)4.20(4.08–4.32)>0.9990.012(0.006–0.018)0.009(0.004–0.013)0.83
 65+18.6(18.2–19.1)15.4(15.0–15.9)>0.9990.049(0.029–0.070)0.018(0.003–0.033)0.992
  • CDHB, Canterbury District Health Board; CR, credible region.