Table 2

Estimates of baseline trend, level and trend changes, absolute and relative changes in utilisation, clinical outcomes and healthcare costs per patient following the E2 access program

At 1 year after E2 implementationAt 2 years after E2 implementation
Impact of policyQuarterly baseline trend prepolicy (95% CI)Level change postpolicy (95% CI)Quarterly trend change postpolicy (95% CI)Absolute change (95% CI)Relative change (95% CI)Absolute change (95% CI)Relative change (95% CI)
All patients
 Utilisation0.1% (−0.4% to 0.6%)9.8% (6.8% to 12.8%)−0.2% (−0.7% to 0.3%)8.7% (3.5% to 13.9%)12.7% (4.4% to 21.0%)8.0% (1.0% to 14.9%)11.5% (0.3% to 22.7%)
 Outcomes0.05% (−0.4% to 0.5%)5.4% (2.0% to 8.7%)−0.06% (−0.6% to 0.5%)5.0% (−1.1% to 11.1%)6.6% (−1.9% to 15.1%)4.8% (−3.3% to 12.8%)6.2% (−5.0% to 17.5%)
 Costs$56.39 (−$61.96 to $174.73)−$687.10 (−$1534.65 to $160.44)−$94.42 (−$220.76 to $31.91)−$1253.66 (−$4756.70 to $176.85)−13.5% (−26.9% to −0.2%)−$1631.37 (−$3520.85 to $258.66)−17.2% (−33.7% to −0.7%)
UC patients
 Utilisation−0.4% (−0.1% to 0.9%)14.5% (11.8% to 17.2%)−0.3% (−0.9% to 0.2%)12.4% (6.8% to 18.0%)19.6% (9.1% to 30.3%)11.0% (3.3% to 18.7%)17.0% (3.1% to 31.0%)
 Outcomes−0.1% (−1.5% to 1.3%)8.7% (0.3% to 17.0%)0.07% (−1.4% to 1.5%)9.07% (−7.4% to 25.5%)12.5% (−13.0% to 37.9%)9.3% (−12.8% to 31.5%)12.9% (−21.7% to 47.6%)
 Costs$165.05 ($27.35 to $302.76)−$1593.10 (−$2699.70 to −$486.51)−$217.26 (−$356.20 to −$78.32)−$2896.69 (−$4756.70 to −$1036.68)−27.9% (−40.9% to −15.0%)−$3765.75 (−$6157.79 to −$1373.71)−34.2% (−48.5% to −19.8%)
  • $, US$ in year 2014,15 adjusted by Consumer Price Index16.

  • UC, universal coverage.