Models developed for prediction of 6-month postdischarge mortality
| Variable | Regression estimate | p Value | OR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1—primary model, intercept=7.7172 | |||
| MUAC | −0.0462 | <0.0001 | 0.95 (0.94 to 0.97) |
| SpO2 | −0.0411 | 0.0029 | 0.96 (0.93 to 0.99) |
| Time since last hospitalisation | −0.2775 | 0.0085 | 0.76 (0.62 to 0.93) |
| HIV positive | 1.0915 | 0.0064 | 2.98 (1.36 to 6.53) |
| Abnormal BCS score | 0.8723 | 0.0150 | 2.39 (1.18 to 4.83) |
| Model 2—model without SpO2, intercept=4.4538 | |||
| MUAC | −0.0505 | <0.0001 | 0.95 (0.94 to 9.97) |
| Time since last hospitalisation | −0.2503 | 0.0153 | 0.78 (0.64 to 0.95) |
| HIV positive | 1.0902 | 0.0061 | 2.98 (1.37 to 6.48) |
| Abnormal BCS score | 1.0664 | 0.0022 | 2.91 (1.47 to 5.75) |
| Model 4—model without HIV, intercept=8.2813 | |||
| MUAC | −0.0492 | <0.0001 | 0.95 (0.94 to 0.97) |
| SpO2 | −0.0412 | 0.0027 | 0.96 (0.93 to 0.99) |
| Time since last hospitalisation | −0.2870 | 0.0058 | 0.75 (0.61 to 0.92) |
| Abnormal BCS score | 0.8040 | 0.0248 | 2.23 (1.11 to 4.51) |
| Model 4—model without clinical variables, intercept=4.4511 | |||
| MUAC | −0.0492 | <0.0001 | 0.95 (0.94 to 0.97) |
| HIV positive | 1.0143 | 0.0108 | 2.76 (1.26 to 6.01) |
| Time since last hospitalisation | −0.2458 | 0.0164 | 0.78 (0.64 to 0.96) |
BCS, Blantyre Coma Scale; MUAC, mid-upper arm circumference.