Article Text
Abstract
Introduction People in need of care or support are severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. We lack valid data of long-term assessments. We present a register study to detect the physical and psychosocial impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on people in need of care or support in Bavaria, Germany. To describe the persons’ life conditions comprehensively, we assess the perspectives and needs of the respective care teams too. Results will serve as evidence-based source to manage the pandemic and long-term prevention strategies.
Methods and analysis The ‘Bavarian ambulatory COVID-19 Monitor’ is a multicentre registry including a purposive sample of up to 1000 patient–participants across three study sites in Bavaria. The study group consists of 600 people in need of care with a positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR test. Control group 1 comprises 200 people in need of care with a negative SARS-CoV-2 PCR test, while control group 2 comprises 200 people with a positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR test but are not in need of care. We assess the clinical course of infection, psychosocial aspects and care needs using validated measures. Follow-up is every 6 months for up to 3 years. Additionally, we assess up to 400 people linked to these patient–participants (caregivers, general practitioners (GPs)) for their health and needs. Main analyses are stratified by level of care I–V (I=minor/V=most severe impairment of independence), inpatient/outpatient care setting, sex and age. We use descriptive and inferential statistics to analyse cross-sectional data and changes over time. In qualitative interviews with 60 stakeholders (people in need of care, caregivers, GPs, politicians), we explore interface problems of different functional logics, of everyday and professional perspectives.
Ethics and dissemination The Institutional Review Board of the University Hospital LMU Munich (#20-860) and the study sites (Universities of Wurzburg and Erlangen) approved the protocol. We disseminate the results by peer-reviewed publications, international conferences, governmental reports, etc.
- COVID-19
- MENTAL HEALTH
- QUALITATIVE RESEARCH
- REGISTRIES
- PRIMARY CARE
- Public health
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STRENGTHS AND LIMITATIONS OF THIS STUDY
This large, multicentre registry fills an evidence gap in COVID-19 research by focusing on a vulnerable, under-represented group of people, who are in need of care in ambulatory settings (long-term care facilities, informal/family care, etc) and survived COVID-19 infection.
A 36-month follow-up provides data on long-term clinical course and sequels.
A multiprofessional research team (ie, general practice, nursing, sociology and infectology) and a triangulated research approach combining quantitative and qualitative methods provide multiple perspectives and comprehensive analyses.
Prestatus (before the pandemic) of the study population is not available; patient-reported outcomes and interviews are at risk for recall bias and social desirability.
Due to limited life expectancy of the predominantly frail participants, we include additional participants over time (open registry).
Introduction
By February 2022, the WHO noted 433 million cases and almost six million deaths from COVID-19. Many COVID-19 survivors will be affected by long-lasting and debilitating sequelae.1 One of the most vulnerable and affected groups by the COVID-19 pandemic are people in need of care or support, including older and frail people.2–6 In Germany, until end of 2022, people aged 60 years and older accounted for more than two-thirds (71.4%) of COVID-19 cases in old people’s and nursing homes,7 and in the first year of the pandemic, the majority of the COVID-19 deaths involved people under care of an outpatient care service or living in a long-term care facility.8
Apart from a higher risk of death from COVID-19 for the older, the physical, psychological and social impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent needs of COVID-19 survivors may differ between younger and frail older survivors of COVID-19 for a number of reasons. Multimorbidity is the rule rather than an exception among older people and COVID-19 may exacerbate both general frailty and specific comorbidities that are particularly affected by COVID-19 (such as respiratory and cardiovascular disease).2 9 All of these factors may prolong recovery, increase the likelihood of long-COVID/post-COVID syndrome and increase dependency.10 11 In addition, long-term care facilities have frequently implemented drastic infection control measures, with external and internal contact restrictions aggravating feelings of loneliness and isolation among their residents (irrespective of age or frailty status), which may have long-term consequences for mental and physical health.12–15
The additional care needs of often frail COVID-19 survivors also placed a further burden on formal and on informal caregivers, who had already been physically and psychologically challenged by staff shortages, fear of infection and frequent encounters with death.11 16 17 Furthermore, the pandemic was also a disruption to the provision of routine primary care—for example, in Germany, general practitioners (GPs) cared for 90% of COVID-19 patients.18 19
Against this background, it appears likely that the COVID-19 pandemic has and will continue to have a relevant impact on the physical and psychosocial health of people in need of care or support as well as on those caring for them, including formal (eg, nursing stuff) and informal (eg, family members /relatives) caregivers and GPs.
Aim and objectives
The aim of the ‘Bavarian ambulatory COVID-19 Monitor (BaCoM)’ is, therefore, to conduct a systematic assessment of the physical, psychological and social long-term outcomes and sequels of the COVID-19 pandemic on people in need of care or support as well as their care needs and the needs of care providers. The findings should support the development and implementation of long-term prevention and aftercare strategies. The specific study objectives are:
To examine clinical parameters, psychosocial burden and care needs in people dependent on care or support.
To examine long-term sequels in people in need of care or support.
To examine the needs of formal and informal caregivers
Methods and analysis
Study design and setting
BaCoM is a multicentre, open registry study in the State of Bavaria (Southern Germany). For objectives 1 and 2, we include patient-participants in one study group (SG) and two control groups (CG1 and CG2). The SG comprises people with evidence of a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection, who were in need of care or support at the time of infection and survived COVID-19. In order to examine the impact of COVID-19 on clinical parameters and psychosocial burden, participants in CG1 comprise people in need of care or support during the COVID-19 pandemic but without evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection. In order to examine effect modification of the COVID-19 impact by need of care or support, participants in CG2 comprise people with evidence of a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection who were not in need of care or support at the time of infection. For objective 3 we also collect information from formal and informal caregivers of participants included in SG, CG1 and CG2 as well as their GPs.
Study population
Eligibility criteria for patients
The inclusion/exclusion criteria of the SGs and CGs are provided in table 1. All adult residents of the State of Bavaria who are 18 years or older at the time of recruitment and have had at least one SARS-CoV-2 test are eligible for inclusion in BaCoM. In order to determine COVID-19 status (for assignment to SG and CG2 vs CG1), we consider the results of PCR tests, where people with at least one previous positive test result (not older than 1 March 2020) are assigned to SG or CG2, respectively, and otherwise to CG1. In cases, where PCR test results are not available (which is commonly the case in later stages of the pandemic), people with rapid SARS-CoV-2 antigen test results (not older than 6 months) can be enrolled. Test results from antigen tests are interpreted in combination with any evidence of nucleocapsid antibodies measured as part of the study protocol (see the Data collection section). The assessment of nucleocapsid antibodies serves as a further means to verify any previous infection with SARS-CoV-2, which is not influenced by exposure to vaccines (since vaccines only trigger antibodies against the spike protein). Patients, who have previously been allocated to CG1, but who subsequently test positive for nucleocapsid antibodies, are classified as group-switchers and are reallocated to the SG accordingly.
Eligibility criteria for participating caregivers
Formal and informal caregivers are eligible for recruitment, if they are involved in the care or support of a recruited patient-participant.
Eligibility criteria for recruiting GPs
GPs are eligible for recruitment, if (a) they offer statutory health insurance service, (b) they care for COVID-19 patients, (c) they offer a primary healthcare service open for all patient groups.
Participant recruitment
Up to 1000 patient-participants (n=600 in SG and 200 in each of CG1 and CG2) are recruited at three study sites in Bavaria (Munich, Erlangen and Wurzburg). In addition, we recruit up to 200 formal caregivers, up to 100 informal caregivers and up to 100 GPs. Patient-participants can be recruited in inpatient (long-term care facilities) or outpatient care settings (home care provided by informal caregivers and/or outpatient care services). In order to maximise the geographical spread of study participants, we implement a Bavarian-wide recruitment campaign with broad publicity. Recruitment of patient-participants can take place at any time after a SARS-CoV-2 PCR test result (subsequently referred to as the ‘index test’). The index test is defined as the first positive SARS-CoV-2 test result (for SG and CG2) or otherwise the latest negative SARS-CoV-2 test result without any previous infection (for CG 1). Patient-participants are identified via their GP, the long-term care facility they live in, via outpatient care services or informal caregivers, or via self-referral. Irrespective of how prospective patient-participants are identified, they are either recruited by their GP or (if not available) a study physician.
The recruitment of GPs is carried out via in total 240 GCP-qualified practices of the Bavarian Research Practice Network and cooperating teaching practices. Further eligible general practices with a past or current focus on managing patients with COVID-19 are identified.
The participating GP’s receive compensation for their work within the framework of the study (participant inclusion and information, baseline examination, follow-up (FU) surveys). For the recruitment from inpatient and outpatient care facilities, we use a list of about 700 eligible facilities in Bavaria with documented COVID-19 outbreaks who file their interest in participating in BaCoM via a reporting system to the Bavarian State Office for Health and Food Safety (Bayerisches Landesamt für Gesundheit und Lebensmittelsicherheit.
Data collection
Baseline data collection began on 1 March 2021 and enrolment will continue until the end of 2023. Data collection methods include blood samples, clinical investigations, data abstraction from clinical data sources, surveys as well as semistructured interviews (see tables 2–5). Appropriately trained study staff conduct all data collection, so that inter-rater reliability for all assessments (including questionnaires and clinical tests) can be ensured. It can be assumed that a certain proportion of the study participants will not be able to provide self-disclosure (eg, in case of cognitive impairment). In these cases, the information collection is to be ensured by relatives or caregivers who are asked instead. In order to ensure that the cognitive status is determined, the ‘six-item screener’20—a cognitive short test—is administered (0–6 points). If the ‘six-item screener’ is not successfully completed (<4 points), the information collection of the self-reports will be ensured according to the substitution principle mentioned above.
Baseline and FU assessments
The baseline data collection occurs within 4 weeks after recruitment. For all patient-participants, FU assessments are conducted at 6-month intervals after the date of the index test for a period of up to 3 years in order to be able to observe the development of physical and mental health as well as provider and care needs over an extended time period. Depending on the date of enrolment, the number of FU’s will, therefore, range between one and five FUs (3 years). For formal and informal caregivers and GPs, FU’s intervals are similar. The parameters and constructs of interest as well as their corresponding data collection methods are provided in tables 2–5 and their rationale is briefly described below. The qualitative interviews with stakeholder are conducted only once per participant.
Clinical parameters of patientparticipants
Table 2 shows that clinical parameters of interest include physical status, laboratory, medication, comorbidities, body mass index and vaccination status. Tests for frailty (Clinical Frailty Scale21 22) and for cognitive impairment (MoCA-Blind23) are performed. In addition, the use of healthcare facilities, COVID-19-specific complications and symptoms (long-Covid/post-Covid) are used to characterise the course of the disease. Many target variables are collected in accordance with the ‘German Corona Consensus Data Set’ of the National Research Network of University Medicine on COVID-19.24 The attending GP or the study nurse performs a brief physical examination with measurement of the vital parameters and takes a venous blood sample. By this, an antibody test for SARS-CoV-2 and, thus, the influence of COVID-19 disease on the immune response can be measured. For the remaining part of the blood samples, an immediate laboratory analysis of a complete blood count, a differential blood count and 26 organ-specific parameters relevant for COVID-19 disease are carried out. To cover future research questions, serum and whole blood samples are transferred to quality-controlled long-term storage at −80°C in the Institute of Laboratory Medicine.
Psychosocial parameters of patient participants
Table 2 shows psychological parameters of interest that include the mental health status among others. The COVID-19 pandemic may cause severe psychosocial stress among people in need of care or support at different ages and life situations. To recognise these burdens and identify possible protective factors or risk factors, participant questionnaires with validated measurement instruments are used. This includes health-related quality of life (EuroQol25–27 (Eq-5D-5L)), symptoms of depression (Patient Health Questionnaire28 29 (PHQ-9)), anxiety (Generalised Anxiety Disorder Screener30) and post-traumatic stress disorders (Impact of Event Scale revised31). The aim is to identify possible resources (Six-item Self-Efficacy Scale32) and strategies that can contribute to convalescence on the one hand and address the specific care needs of people in need of care or support for sustainable prevention on the other.
Care needs of patient participants
Special medical and care needs among this group of people in the different care settings are largely unknown so far. Table 2 shows the care parameters of interest, which include factors such as deprivation. In addition to the mobility and social participation, such an assessment should also include care services already used, health literacy (European Health Literacy Survey33), individual coping strategies, physical function and frailty, care diagnoses of the North American Nursing Diagnosis Association (NANDA)34 and a geriatric assessment (Barthel-Index35). From these findings, it is to be derived which services may be necessary for sustainable prevention in long-term care in order to be able to contribute to an improvement of resilience, so that an individual, self-determined life and living-oriented towards the principle of normality is still possible.
Sociodemographic differentiations also play a role in all these dimensions and educational level, former, professional background, income class and family situation are collected for the distillation of at least trend statements.
Needs of formal and informal caregivers and GPs
Tables 3–5 show that parameters of formal (table 3) and informal caregivers (table 4) from outpatient and inpatient care as well as GPs (table 5) are collected with regards to coping with the burdens of the pandemic to enable addressing any deficits. Contextual information on sociodemography, structural information on the care facility or the GP practice as well as data on the psychosocial health (PHQ-9) and stress situation (Maslach-Burnout-Inventory36) are collected. In addition, the formal and informal caregivers will be asked about their own SARS-CoV-2 infection and about their vaccination decision.
Qualitative substudy: stakeholder interfaces in long-term care
The field of long-term care in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic is characterised by a multitude of stakeholders: people in need of care, their professional and informal carers, home managers, relatives, GPs and those responsible in politics and administration. The constellation of stakeholders is complex, generates interactions and must be managed accordingly. Administrative requirements, for example, not only have to be integrated into the everyday care of professionals but also coordinated with the habits and expectations of those in need of care and their relatives. Hence, interface problems arise. A total of approximately 60 expert interviews will be conducted in form of semistandardised, guideline-supported interviews, which are primarily aimed at the perspective view of the interfaces of the different stakeholders. Patients, GPs, formal and informal carers will be recruited primarily from the study participants of the quantitative study. Based on interviews already conducted, further relevant actors will be identified and requested as interview partners. Here, the aim is to achieve the greatest possible variance with regards to the characteristics of the level of care, the place of residence in urban or rural regions and the presence or absence of family connections. The group of caregivers is also differentiated according to the care setting as well as according to the level of education and function. We will form conceptual categories (deductive—based on the theory of functional differentiation) for the computer-assisted coding and evaluation of the interviews with MAXQDA, which will be adapted, refined and supplemented in an iterative process during analyses (inductive). All interviews will be conducted by appropriately trained staff with a background in sociology (KM), who will also conduct or supervise all qualitative analyses.
The aim of the study is to name not only the challenges and needs of the various stakeholders but also their structural conditionality in a highly differentiated field. The qualitative results, thus, not only complement the quantitative research approach on the one hand but also offer an extended interpretive framework for the quantitative results.
Sample size calculation and stratification
Based on 600 (SG) and 200 (each CG) persons recruited for the registry, we simulate minimal detectable (statistical) difference for major outcomes (age, comorbidities and mortality). Comparing the SG and the controls using a two-tailed t-test or log-rank test, with the assumptions for the significance level α=0.05 and the power β=0.8 and given SD, the detectable differences for the following variables are obtained: age: SD=10.0; detectable difference of −2.29 or 2.29; comorbidities: SD=3.1; detectable difference of −7.10 or 7.10; mortality: median survival time=4.0; detectable difference of 2.66 or 6.56; EQ-5D-5L: SD=0.29; detectable difference of −0.07 or 0.07. With respect to the limited life expectancy of care recipients, we conservatively estimate that after 4 years about 30% of the study participants, across all levels of care, will still be alive.37 The registry will, therefore, be expanded with additional participants at regular intervals and evaluated separately in subgroups. The aim is to achieve a relative distribution of the persons in need of care or support in outpatient care (50%) and inpatient care (50%). In order to account for the differences in medical infrastructures, population density and regional differences in infection incidence, we are aiming at an equal stratification according to the seven administrative districts in Bavaria.
Statistical analysis
All collected parameters of the study participants are analysed descriptively. Analyses are performed for the entire population and stratified by level of care, outpatient and inpatient care, gender and age groups. For group comparisons between patients with positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR test and controls, the χ2 test or Fisher’s exact test are used for categorical variables, the t-test (normally distributed variables) or Mann-Whitney-U test (non-normally distributed variables) for metric variables and the log-rank test for survival times. All p values are purely exploratory. Regression models are used to identify, among other things, risk factors that predict a severe course, occurrence of long-term consequences of a COVID-19 infection or a deterioration of the quality of life due to a COVID-19 infection. The survival of the study and CGs is shown graphically using Kaplan-Meier curves. Missing data for the study population are imputed according to multiple imputation where appropriate.
Non-responder analysis
As in most research in the ambulatory care environment, the external validity of our findings is vulnerable to participation bias. For example, it is conceivable that non-responding institutions are particularly burdened by the pandemic. To understand better who does and does not participate, we will conduct an analysis of a subsample of the non-responding care facilities or practices via telephone or postal surveys scheduled 6 and 12 months after first contact, in order to elicit structural and contextual information about the facilities.
Patient and public involvement
Members of the BaCoM advisory board (listed twww.bacomstudie.de) represent a broad expertise in the field: science, patient advocacy, health assurances, health authorities, institutional facilities, etc. The board commented and approved the protocol and comment on the results (public outcome symposium). In addition, we present the protocol and results to a primary care-related citizen forum (‘Bürgerforum’) in Wurzburg and Erlangen.
Ethics and dissemination
Informed consent
All participants provide written informed consent to participate. If a treating GP participates in BaCoM, he/she informs his/her patient about the study. Otherwise, the enrolment and information are provided by the doctor of the study team. If the person in need of care or support is not capable of giving consent him or herself (eg, dementia, cognitive impairment), consent can be given by the legal guardian. In case a person who initially gives consent subsequently loses capacity at one or more of the data collection time points, we only carry out further surveys if the consent to the study also signed by the legal guardian.
We made a conscious decision in the study design not to exclude people with severe cognitive impairment, as these groups (such as people with dementia), may have suffered particularly from the effects of the pandemic (eg, through isolation rules, etc). In order to mitigate undue distress to this vulnerable group, the length of the survey is reduced because some questionnaires are not applicable (eg, health literacy) or the information is collected through an external survey of relatives or carers where this has previously been shown to be possible (eg, PHQ-9). Staff responsible for data collection are instructed to interrupt or end interviews with participants if they notice signs of distress.
The BaCoM Team pursues all measures to protect the interests of participants who are unable to consent.
Study registration and ethics
BaCoM is registered at the German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS) ID: DRKS00026039. The conduct of the study is in accordance with the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki.
The responsible Institutional Review Board of the coordinating study centre of BaCoM (Ethics Committee of the Medical Faculty of the University Hospital of LMU Munich; ethical vote number: #20–860) and of all participating study sites (Ethical Committees at the Medical Faculties of the University of Würzburg and Friedrich-Alexander-University of Erlangen-Nuremberg) approved BaCoM study procedures.
Data access and protection
All data are collected with pseudonyms (ID) first on paper-based case report forms and then transferred in electronic case report forms (double data entry). Data entry takes place on the servers of University Hospital of the LMU with ‘LibreClinica’, an open source validated study management software. To ensure a pseudonymised analysis of data, each participant data set is given a unique participant identification number (ID) when being entered into the study database. The anonymity of the data in the context of evaluations is ensured. The allocation between study participant and participant ID takes place in the study centre through the password-protected allocation lists of the study participants. This information is stored separately and not in the database. By using a hierarchical access concept, unauthorised access to the pseudonymised patient data in the database is impossible.
Storage resources for the data are available in the personal cloud storage of the Leibnitz Rechenzentrum (LRZ). For long-term archiving, the Archive and Backup Service offered by the LRZ based on the IBM Spectrum Protect software is used. Copies of all data in the archive are made on separate tapes to increase security. Data quality is checked for errors electronically and on-site by experienced monitors. Data access to the final data set is provided to the BaCoM Study Group along with written use and access rules.
Dissemination
As an instrument for optimising ambulatory COVID-19 care in Bavaria, the results of the interdisciplinary monitor are presented in regular progress reports and discussed with other (external) experts at symposia. On this basis, further questions or measurement instruments can be systematically included, or less meaningful variables are removed.
Findings are presented at scientific conferences and through peer-reviewed publications.
Ethics statements
Patient consent for publication
Acknowledgments
Thanks to BayFoNet (Bayerisches Forschungsnetz in der Allgemeinmedizin/ grant number
References
Footnotes
JG and IZ are joint first authors.
JG and IZ contributed equally.
Contributors Conceptualisation: JG, TD, IG, AH, MH, CJ, TK, AN, DT, IZ. Data analysis: MR, DL. Funding acquisition: JG, TD, IG, AH, MH, CJ, TK, AN, DT, IZ. Supervision: JG, TD, IG, AH, MH, CJ, TK, AN, DT, IZ. Writing the original draft: JG, TD, IG, AH, MH, CJ, TK, AN, DT, IZ. Review and editing: JG, TD, IG, AH, MH, CJ, TK, AN, DT, FMA, CE, DH, HK, PKK, DL, KM, SM, LR, MR, LS, RS, MS, DW, IZ. All authors have read and agreed to the final version of the manuscript.
Funding This work is supported by Bavarian State Ministry for Health and Care grant number G45a-G8300-2021/257-2.
Competing interests None declared.
Patient and public involvement Patients and/or the public were involved in the design, or conduct, or reporting, or dissemination plans of this research. Refer to the Methods section for further details.
Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.