Epidemiology of dementiaEpidemiology of dementia
Section snippets
Prevalence
The most recent meta-analysis of European population-based studies, the EURODEM study carried out in the 1990s, used data from 11 studies in eight European countries.3 The overall pooled prevalence rates for men and women are shown in Table 1.
Subtypes
Studies in developed countries have consistently reported AD to be more prevalent than vascular dementia (VaD). Early studies in south-east Asian countries suggested that VaD was more prevalent than AD. However, AD has become nearly twice as prevalent as VaD in Korea, Japan, and China since demographic transition (i.e. decreased fertility rate together with increased longevity) in the early 1990s. Indian studies are contradictory, with both AD and VaD being more prevalent in different studies.
Incidence
The annual incidence rates reported in the EURODEM meta-analysis4 are roughly one-quarter of the point prevalence (Table 1), suggesting an average disease duration (from onset to death) of 4 years. Clinical studies have suggested a duration of 5–7 years from diagnosis. A recent meta-analysis5 of the age-specific incidence of all dementias was based on data from 23 published studies. The incidence of both dementia and AD rose exponentially up to 90 years, with no sign of levelling off. The
Dementia in developing countries
Demographic ageing proceeds apace in countries such as China, India and Latin America. In the 30 years up to 2020 the oldest sector of the population will have increased by 200% in developing countries, compared with 68% in the developed world.6 By 2020, two-thirds of all those over 60 (and presumably a similar proportion of all those with dementia) will be living in developing countries.1 However, in the developing world there is more uncertainty about the frequency of dementia, with few
Trends in prevalence over time
Two population-based studies have continued to survey the residents of one area over a long period, and are therefore in the unusual position of being able to comment on the trends in prevalence over time.
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The Lundby study in Sweden8 indicated no significant change in the prevalence or incidence of either multi-infarct dementia or what was described at the time as ‘senile dementia’ during the period from 1947 to 1972.
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In Rochester, Minnesota, USA, the meticulously maintained health-care register
Aetiology
The rare early-onset form of AD is highly heritable, and single-gene mutations at one of three loci (β-amyloid precursor protein, presenilin-1 and presenilin-2) account for the majority of cases. Late-onset AD is a multifactorial disorder. The apolipoprotein E (ApoE) gene polymorphisms account for up to 50% of the population attributable fraction, the ε4 allele being enriched among AD cases. However, low concordance rates among monozygotic twins suggest a substantial environmental influence.
Impact
Dementia is one of the main causes of disability in late-life. The consensus-estimated disability weight for dementia applied in the Global Burden of Disease Report6 was higher than that for almost any other condition with the exception of spinal cord injury and terminal cancer. Among older people, dementia was the most burdensome neuropsychiatric disorder, accounting for more than half of all disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in this domain of morbidity.6
People with dementia are heavy
Prevention and care
Primary prevention should focus on risk factors for vascular disease, including:
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hypertension
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smoking
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type 2 diabetes mellitus
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hyperlipidaemia.
The epidemic of smoking in developing countries and the rising prevalence of type 2 diabetes in Asia are particular causes of concern. More work is needed to identify further modifiable risk factors.
Achieving progress with dementia care depends on creating the climate for change. Lack of awareness, which is widespread among policy-makers, clinicians and the
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