Trajectories of posttraumatic stress symptomatology in older persons affected by a large-magnitude disaster
Introduction
Exposure to a disaster increases risk for posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD; Acierno et al., 2007, 2006; Amstadter et al., 2009; Galea et al., 2007, 2005, 2008; Kessler et al., 2008; Norris et al., 2002a, 2002b; Pietrzak et al., 2012b). After a disaster, PTSD symptoms may evolve in complex ways and be characterized by heterogeneous symptom trajectories. Common trajectories of PTSD symptoms that have been identified in trauma-affected samples include minimal to no symptoms over time (i.e., resistant); initial mild-to-moderate symptoms followed by a reduction to minimal/no symptoms over time (i.e., resilient); chronically elevated symptoms over time (i.e., chronic) and initial minimal/no symptoms followed by an increase in symptoms over time (i.e., delayed onset; Bonanno et al., 2008, 2012; Bonnano, 2005; deRoon-Cassini et al., 2010; Norris et al., 2009).
Determinants of disaster-related PTSD symptom severity and probable diagnosis may be divided into three categories based on their temporal relation to a disaster (Freedy et al., 1994). Pre-disaster factors are those that precede a disaster, such as female sex, ethnic minority status, lower education and income, and medical and psychiatric history (Norris et al., 2002a, 2002b). Prior exposure to disasters may also help “inoculate” against disaster-related psychological distress, as familiarity or experience in recovering from a disaster may help enhance coping skills (Knight et al., 2000; Norris and Murrell, 1988). Peri-disaster factors are those that occur around the time of the disaster, such as greater severity of trauma exposure, personal losses, community destruction; and peri-disaster dissociative and autonomic symptoms (Bovin and Marx, 2011; Ozer et al., 2003; Shalev et al., 1998). Post-disaster factors are those that occur after a disaster and may affect recovery, such as social support and secondary traumas and life stressors (Acierno et al., 2006; Brewin et al., 2000; Cerdá et al., 2012, in press; Kessler et al., 2012; Miguel-Tobal et al., 2006; Person et al., 2006; Tracy et al., 2011). While these studies suggest that a broad range of pre-, peri-, and post-disaster factors may be related to severity and probable diagnoses of disaster-related PTSD, little is known about how they are related to heterogeneous longitudinal trajectories of disaster-related PTSD symptoms.
To date, no study of which we are aware has examined the nature of predominant trajectories of disaster-related PTSD symptoms in older persons. Characterization of such trajectories in this population is important for several reasons. First, older persons may have physical limitations, diminished sensory and cognitive capacities, and/or financial difficulties that may affect their preparation for, adaptability to, and recovery from a disaster (Aldrich and Benson, 2008; Dyer et al., 2008; Fernandez et al., 2002). Second, there are unique risk factors for psychopathology in disaster-affected older adults (Acierno et al., 2006; Phifer and Norris, 1989), including the presence of a chronic psychiatric and/or medical condition, as well as the cumulative lifetime burden of trauma and stress, which may increase risk for disaster-related psychopathology (Acierno et al., 2006; Fernandez et al., 2002; Sakauye et al., 2009). Third, older persons are often exposed to a greater level of danger during disasters, are less likely to receive warnings, and often endure greater financial losses (Acierno et al., 2006; Aldrich et al., 2008; Sakauye et al., 2009; Thompson et al., 1993). Fourth, older adults are also more likely to experience subsyndromal than syndromal levels of PTSD symptoms (Glaesmer et al., 2012; Pietrzak et al., 2012a; van Zelst et al., 2003; Yang et al., 2003); and may be uniquely affected by certain risk factors for disaster-related psychopathology (e.g., disaster-related financial losses; Acierno et al., 2007; Kohn et al., 2005; Yang et al., 2003). Taken together, this work suggests that, after a disaster, older adults may exhibit heterogeneous patterns of psychopathology, which may have unique risk factors. For example, older adults with greater personal losses and community destruction may be more likely to have a chronic symptom trajectory, while those who experience an increasing burden of financial distress in the aftermath of a disaster may be more likely to experience a delayed-onset symptom trajectory. Characterization of the nature and determinants of these trajectories in older adults is useful, as it can help identify potentially modifiable factors associated with problematic PTSD symptom trajectories that are specific to this population.
Hurricane Ike was the third costliest hurricane to ever make landfall in the United States, accounting for $29.6 billion in damages. It also caused 195 deaths, and prompted the largest search-and-rescue operation in U.S. history and largest evacuation of Texans in state history (Berg, 2009). In the current study, we sought to examine the nature and determinants of longitudinal trajectories of Hurricane Ike-related PTSD symptoms at 3-, 6-, and 15-months after this disaster in older persons directly affected by this large-magnitude disaster.
Section snippets
Sample
A total of 658 adults age 18 or older who had been living in Galveston County or Chambers County, Texas for at least one month before September 13, 2008 when Hurricane Ike struck participated in this study. A disproportionate stratified cluster sampling was employed to acquire samples of individuals residing in areas of Galveston County or Chambers County that experienced more damage from Hurricane Ike and that were more likely to be exposed to hurricane-related traumas. The cooperation rate
Trajectories of Ike-related PTSD symptoms
Table 1 shows fit statistics of 1–6 class solutions of disaster-related PTSD symptoms over the three assessments. Although BIC, SSA-BIC, and AIC fit statistics suggested relative improvements in fit of models with an increasing number of classes, entropy values were highest for the 2- and 3-class models, and the BLRT suggested that the 3-class model fit significantly better than the 2-class model. Based on these fit statistics, average latent class probabilities (all >95%), theory, and
Discussion
Using a sample of 206 older adults who were recently affected by a large magnitude disaster, we found that the majority (78.7%) had low/no PTSD symptoms over all assessments; 16.0% had chronic, clinically significant symptoms; and 5.3% had a delayed-onset course of clinically significant symptoms. This solution is consistent with prior longitudinal studies of general adult samples of trauma survivors, which have similarly observed that a majority have minimal or no symptoms after a traumatic
Role of funding sources
Funding sources had no role in study design; in the collection, analysis and interpretation of data; in the writing of the report; or in the decision to submit the paper for publication.
Contributors
RHP managed the literature searches, undertook the statistical analysis, and wrote the initial draft of the manuscript. PHVN, TRF, SG, and FHN contributed to the conceptualization and design of the study, and provided critical comments and revisions of the manuscript.
Conflict of interest
RHP is a scientific consultant to CogState, Ltd. for work unrelated to this project. None of the other authors have any conflicts of interest.
Acknowledgments
This project was supported by the National Center for Disaster Mental Health Research (NIMH Grant 5 P60 MH082598), Fran H. Norris, Center Director, Sandro Galea, Research Director. Preparation of this report was supported by a Research Career Development Award to Dr. Pietrzak from the Claude D. Pepper Older Americans Independence Center at Yale University School of Medicine (NIA Grant P30AG21342) and the United States Department of Veterans Affairs National Center for Posttraumatic Stress
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