Original article
Alimentary tract
Increase in the Prevalence of Atrophic Gastritis Among Adults Age 35 to 44 Years Old in Northern Sweden Between 1990 and 2009

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2015.04.001Get rights and content

Background & Aims

Atrophic corpus gastritis (ACG) is believed to be an early precursor of gastric adenocarcinoma. We aimed to investigate trends of ACG in Northern Sweden, from 1990 through 2009, and to identify possible risk factors.

Methods

We randomly selected serum samples collected from 5284 participants in 1990, 1994, 1999, 2004, and 2009, as part of the population-based, cross-sectional Northern Sweden Multinational Monitoring of Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease study (ages, 35–64 y). Information was collected on sociodemographic, anthropometric, lifestyle, and medical factors using questionnaires. Serum samples were analyzed for levels of pepsinogen I to identify participants with functional ACG; data from participants with ACG were compared with those from frequency-matched individuals without ACG (controls). Blood samples were analyzed for antibodies against Helicobacter pylori and Cag pathogenicity island protein A. Associations were estimated with unconditional logistic regression models.

Results

Overall, 305 subjects tested positive for functional ACG, based on their level of pepsinogen I. The prevalence of ACG in participants age 55 to 64 years old decreased from 124 per 1000 to 49 per 1000 individuals between 1990 and 2009. However, the prevalence of ACG increased from 22 per 1000 to 64 per 1000 individuals among participants age 35 to 44 years old during this time period. Cag pathogenicity island protein A seropositivity was associated with risk for ACG (odds ratio, 2.29; 95% confidence interval, 1.69–3.12). Other risk factors included diabetes, low level of education, and high body mass index. The association between body mass index and ACG was confined to individuals age 35 to 44 years old; in this group, overweight and obesity were associated with a 2.8-fold and a 4.7-fold increased risk of ACG, respectively.

Conclusions

Among residents of Northern Sweden, the prevalence of ACG increased from 1990 through 2009, specifically among adults age 35 to 44 years old. The stabilizing seroprevalence of H pylori and the increasing prevalence of overweight and obesity might contribute to this unexpected trend. Studies are needed to determine whether these changes have affected the incidence of gastric cancer.

Section snippets

Study Population

Age-stratified random samples of all residents aged 35 to 64 years in Norrbotten and Västerbotten, 2 counties located in Northern Sweden, were drawn in 1990, 1994, 1999, 2004, and 2009 as part of the Multinational MONitoring of Trends and Determinants in CArdiovascular Disease (MONICA) study. Details about this project have been described elsewhere.8 Each survey year, random samples (n = 250) were drawn from each sex/10-year age stratum, taking advantage of the complete and continuously updated

Pilot Study of Consistency of Results From the Two Pepsinogen Test Kits

In the pilot study, 894 sera from 900 randomly selected participants in the first 3 survey rounds, already analyzed with the old PG-I kit, were retested using the new kit (there was no more sera available from 6 participants). A strong correlation between paired measures of PG-I concentrations was noted (Pearson correlation coefficient, 0.85; intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.77), and plots of Bland–Altman analysis (Supplementary Figure 1) showed that the new kit could be of practical use,

Discussion

This analysis, based on population-based, quinquennial, cross-sectional surveys during 1990 to 2009 in 2 Northern counties in Sweden,14 showed a surprising monotonic and statistically significant upward trend in the prevalence of PG-I–defined functional ACG in the youngest investigated age bracket, age 35 to 44 years. In the oldest investigated age band, there was a clear and expected decrease. Because ACG in the long term is correlated tightly with the occurrence of gastric cancer, this change

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    Conflicts of interest The authors disclose no conflicts.

    Funding Supported by grants from the Swedish Cancer Society (3913-B97-01XAB and 2013-798) and the Swedish Research Council (2011-3182), and supported in part by a scholarship from the China Scholarship Council (H.S.). The Northern Sweden Multinational MONitoring of Trends and Determinants in CArdiovascular Disease study was supported by grants from the Norrbotten and Västerbotten County Councils.

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