Original articles
The Zelen Design May Be the Best Choice for a Heroin-Provision Experiment

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Abstract

Recently, the Dutch Parliament agreed upon the conduct of a randomized clinical trial on the effects on heroin provision on general health and psychosocial and criminal behavior in long-term addicts. Previous studies failed to establish the effects beyond reasonable doubt. The main reasons why previous trials failed are massive dropout or noncompliance in the control group. Designing a new heroin-provision trial, we concluded that the Zelen design provides the best guarantee for obtaining valid study results. Compared with the traditional design, the Zelen design probably reduces noncompliance and dropout considerably, thus increasing validity. Depending on the study population, the Zelen design may reduce study precision. However, in a trial aimed at badly integrated addicts, the Zelen design can be conducted without loss of precision because baseline measurements will only weakly correlate with effect measurements. The arguments favoring the Zelen design may be generalized to trials in which the experimental treatment is highly attractive to the study participants. However, the use of the Zelen design precludes blinding of participants who receive the experimental treatment. We argue that the conduct of studies that predictably tend to produce invalid results is ethically dubious. The ethical problem of studying participants without their consent can be solved by a slight modification of the Zelen design in which the sampling of a control group is postponed. Both the traditional and the Zelen design can imply ethical problems. Both designs can be ethically justifiable and should not be rejected on a priori grounds.

Introduction

In agreement with the advice of the Health Council, the Dutch Parliament agreed upon a medical experiment regarding the effects of heroin provision for long-term heroin addicts 1, 2. The main hypothesis is that provision of heroin, in addition to available standard treatment, decreases the harm caused by drug dependence. The outcome measures, in hierarchical order, will be general health and psychosocial and criminal behavior of long-term heroin addicts. Previous studies suffered particularly from high drop-out and noncompliance rates in the control group 3, 4, 5 or did not use a control group [6]. Therefore, these studies have been insufficiently informative with regard to the effectiveness of heroin provision. We set out to design an alternative study that would address this pragmatic question and would be less susceptible to drop-out and noncompliance while retaining the usual experimental rigor. In The Netherlands, standard treatment for long-term drug addicts is delivered by health services and consists of methadone maintenance and social aid.

Section snippets

The traditional design versus the zelen design

Previous trials 3, 4, 5 were conducted as traditional randomized trials in which addicts’ consent was obtained before randomization. Addicts who were randomized to a no-heroin provision control group had a clear reason to be disappointed, complied badly, dropped out in large numbers, and, in this way, adversely affected the trials’ validity. Thus, the challenge is to design a study in which disappointment leading to disruptive behavior is avoided. In a design that is known as the Zelen design,

Dropout and noncompliance

Potentially, the most serious threat to the comparability of treatment groups is dropout leading to incomplete data collection and missing data on effect measurements. A study’s internal validity is reduced if the addicts who drop out are prognostically different from the addicts who complete the study and the drop-out rates differ between the treatment groups.

Noncompliance is another factor that may reduce a trial’s validity. Addicts may either reject their allocated treatment or may take

Validity and precision

In the preceding section, we argued that the chances of obtaining valid results in a heroin-provision trial are probably higher with the use of the Zelen design than with the traditional design. However, the use of the Zelen design precludes taking nonstandard measurements in the control group at baseline. In this section, we qualitatively discuss the implications this has for the trial’s precision. Note also that the points 1 and 2 in the preceding list are likely to reduce the trial’s

A heroin provision experiment in badly integrated addicts

The attractiveness of the intervention implies that many heroin addicts will volunteer for heroin provision. So, in the traditional design, the addicts in the control group will be frustrated after being refused the desired intervention. Theoretically, in the Zelen design there will be no frustration; however, in practice some addicts in the control group, being aware of the experiment, may demand participation in the provision group, which will then be denied. This may cause disappointment and

Ethical considerations

In clinical medicine, both the Zelen design and the traditional design have been the subject of ethical scrutiny and controversy [9]. In both designs, the physician–patient relationship can be adversely affected because of the physician’s preference for one of the treatments [13]. However, in the traditional design, this relationship may be under even greater pressure because patients know that treatment allocation is purely a matter of chance [14]. In addition, sometimes, complex information

Conclusion

We have focused on the use of the Zelen design in a heroin-provision experiment in badly integrated long-term addicts. However, we think that our design considerations have a wider applicability. In this final section, we describe these considerations more generally.

The Zelen design as an alternative for the traditional randomized design should be considered if: (a) the experimental intervention is highly attractive for all potential participants, and (b) the control group will receive standard

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