Table 2

Multivariate models for prediction of 1-year mortality (with and without BNP)

	Model without BNP			Model with BNP²
	OR	95% CI	p Value*	OR	95% CI	p Value*
Sex (female)	0.981	0.379 to 2.539	0.969	0.917	0.240 to 3.500	0.899
Age	1.033	0.986 to 1.082	0.167	1.016	0.947 to 1.089	0.667
BMI	1.023	0.936 to 1.119	0.613	1.131	1.006 to 1.272	0.039
Systolic BP	0.988	0.974 to 1.002	0.080	0.986	0.966 to 1.005	0.152
AHF	1.377	0.596 to 3.181	0.453	0.998	0.280 to 3.562	0.998
DM	2.695	1.049 to 6.925	0.039	2.310	0.609 to 8.768	0.219
LVEF	0.915	0.881 to 0.950	<0.001	0.947	0.897 to 1.000	0.048
Creatinine	1.007	0.999 to 1.016	0.096	1.009	0.996 to 1.023	0.178
Glycaemia	0.999	0.908 to 1.100	0.987	1.033	0.902 to 1.184	0.636
Haemoglobin	0.988	0.964 to 1.013	0.361	0.986	0.948 to 1.026	0.489
NGAL	2.136	1.262 to 3.613	0.005	1.267	0.651 to 2.469	0.486
BNP	–	–	–	1.616	1.027 to 2.543	0.038

*Statistical significance.
†Model build only on 431 patients with BNP available on admission.
Bold typeface highlights statistically significant results.
AHF, acute heart failure; BMI, body mass index; BNP, B-type natriuretic peptide; BP, blood pressure; DM, diabetes mellitus; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; ML, maximum likelihood; NGAL, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin.