Table 5

Marginal effects from results of segmented regression analysis

GroupDrug price reduction in December 2012 (compared to March 2012)New guidelines in October 2013 (compared to January 2013)Both policies in December 2013 (compared to March 2012)
Daily drug utilisationAll+0.0153−0.0307*0.0050
Health insurance+0.01570.03060.0043
Medical aid+0.0023−0.0377*0.0394
Average number of drugs per monthAll−0.0121*−0.1612*−0.1883*
Health insurance−0.0119*−0.1621*−0.1886*
Medical aid0.0224−0.1484*0.1972
Per cent of original drugs (%)All+0.0947+0.2197+0.5402
Health insurance+0.1483+0.1124+0.5267
Medical aid0.4887+1.6364+0.9739
Drug overutilisation (probability)All+0.003580.00206+0.00544
Health insurance+0.003500.00206+0.00522
Medical aid+0.002400.021580.01912
Prohibited combination (probability)All+0.007680.00719+0.00952
Health insurance+0.007650.00704+0.00979
Medical aid0.007950.006520.04079
Antihypertensive drug costs (USD)All−1.5137*−2.1272*−4.2217*
Health insurance−1.5304*−2.1128*−4.2312*
Medical aid1.25142.38444.0456
Antihypertensive drug cost per prescribing day (USD)All0.0442−0.0732*0.1346
Health insurance0.0450−0.0731*0.1363
Medical aid0.03540.07910.1201
  • *Variables-related policies and times are significant (p<0.05).