Results from the scenario analyses which examine whether the intervention remains cost-effective for a range of assumptions
| Mean change (95% credible interval) caused by MobileMums | Expected (mean) ICER | Probability MobileMums is | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scenario | Total costs (AUD) | QALYs | Cost- effective (%)* | Cost- saving (%) | |
| Base case | 1 124 209 (1 102 044 to 1 146 374) | 131 (126 to 135) | 8608 | 98 | 19 |
| Changes in activity levels entirely mitigated at 9 months (T3) | 1 363 736 (1 363 736 to 1 372 716 | 103 (102 to 105) | 13 186 | 97 | 1 |
| Changes in activity levels maintained from 9 months to 24 months | 240 173 (217 066 to 263 281) | 232 (227 to 236) | 1037 | 97 | 39 |
| Number of counsellors and coordinators required increased by 50% | 1 456 518 (1 434 365 to 1 478 670) | 131 (126 to 135) | 11 152 | 98 | 15 |
| Number of counsellors and coordinators required reduced by 50% | 823 527 (802 374 to 844 680) | 130 (127 to 134) | 6306 | 98 | 24 |
| Cohort size increased by 50% to 54 546 women | 1 643 613 (1 610 282 to 1 676 943) | 196 (190 to 202) | 8390 | 98 | 20 |
| Cohort size reduced by 50% to 18 182 | 585 020 (574 005 to 596 035) | 65 (63 to 67) | 8959 | 98 | 17 |
*At a threshold of 64 000 AUD.
AUD, Australian dollars; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY, quality-adjusted life year.