Table 2

Predictors of being persistently active over 10 years

Baseline exposureOR (95% CI) for persistent MVPA
Age (per year increase)0.94 (0.93 to 0.95)
Female sex0.72 (0.63 to 0.83)
Depressive symptoms0.64 (0.52 to 0.79)
Ever smoker0.85 (0.75 to 0.98)
Long-standing illness0.60 (0.53 to 0.69)
Arthritis0.72 (0.62 to 0.84)
Obesity (≥30 kg/m2)0.44 (0.36 to 0.53)
Wealth quintile
 1 (poor)1.0 (ref)
 21.96 (1.50 to 2.56)
 32.74 (2.12 to 3.55)
 43.29 (2.55 to 4.24)
 5 (rich)4.47 (3.46 to 5.75)
Work status
 Retired1.0 (ref)
 Employed/self-employed0.84 (0.69 to 1.01)
 Other (permanently sick; home maker; unemployed)0.54 (0.43 to 0.67)
  • Models are mutually adjusted for all presented variables; ‘persistently active’ defined as reporting moderate and/or vigorous physical activity at least once a week over all six assessment points.

  • MVPA, moderate and/or vigorous physical activity.