Table 6

Adjusted HRs with 95% CIs for prostate cancer in men in the derivation cohort

Prostate cancer*Adjusted HR (95% CI)
Ethnic group
 White/not recorded1.00
 Indian0.60 (0.51 to 0.71)
 Pakistani0.42 (0.30 to 0.58)
 Bangladeshi0.29 (0.18 to 0.47)
 Other Asian0.46 (0.34 to 0.62)
 Caribbean2.84 (2.61 to 3.09)
 Black African1.98 (1.69 to 2.33)
 Chinese0.50 (0.32 to 0.76)
 Other1.48 (1.30 to 1.69)
Smoking status
 Non-smoker1.00
 Ex-smoker1.02 (0.92 to 1.12)†
 Light smoker (1–9/day)0.78 (0.70 to 0.87)†
 Moderate smoker (10–19/day)0.74 (0.63 to 0.87)†
 Heavy smoker (20+/day)0.79 (0.68 to 0.91)†
Other baseline factors
 Family history of prostate cancer7.65 (6.11 to 9.57)†
 Manic depression or schizophrenia0.64 (0.54 to 0.77)
 Type 1 diabetes0.57 (0.40 to 0.81)
 Type 2 diabetes0.90 (0.85 to 0.94)
  • For fractional polynomial terms and interactions see footnotes and figures 15.

  • *Prostate cancer model also included terms for age (2 FP terms), BMI (2 FP terms), Townsend (linear and negative) and interactions between age and family history and age and smoking status.

  • †Adjusted HR evaluated at mean age.