Table 1

Posterior mean (PM) of fixed effects estimates of heart failure admission and mortality across air pollution indicators (Warwickshire 2005–2013)

VariableHeart failure admission
PM and 95% CI*
Heart failure mortality
PM and 95% CI*
Constant6.19 (3.84 to 8.97)4.13 (1.18 to 7.43)
Nitrogen dioxide indicator (NO2)3.35 (1.89 to 4.99)4.30 (1.68 to 7.37)
Sulfur dioxide indicator (SO2))7.75 (−3.84 to 17.99)11.02 (−1.21 to 22.41)
Particulates indicator (Pm)−12.93 (−20.41 to −6.54)−14.69 (−23.46 to −6.50)
Benzene indicator (Ben)(31.9:8.36 to 55.85)25.98 (−6.62 to 54.22)
Over 50 years %0.70 (−0.63 to 1.98)1.60 (0.47 to 2.92)
IMD 2010 score0.02 (0.01 to 0.03)0.00 (−0.01 to 0.01)
  • *Spatially adjusted posterior mean (PM) from Bayesian geoadditive regression models after controlling for fixed effect of all air pollutions indicators: mono-nitrogen oxide (NOx), sulfur dioxide (SO2), particulate matter (Pm), benzene (Ben) and combined index and the county of residence (spatial effects).

  • IMD, index of multiple deprivation.