TableĀ 3

ORs and associated 95% CIs of being above the recommended treatment threshold for various risk score models as a result of a 1 SD increment above the mean for each anthropometric measure of obesity by ethnicity

EthnicityBMIWCWHR
General CVD 10-year predicted risk for CVD incidence and death (threshold=10%)19
Australia1.69*** (1.55 to 1.85)2.16*** (1.96 to 2.38)2.36*** (2.13 to 2.62)
UK and Ireland1.71*** (1.29 to 2.25)1.86*** (1.42 to 2.43)2.09*** (1.58 to 2.75)
Northern Europe2.50*** (1.67 to 3.74)2.28*** (1.61 to 3.24)2.23*** (1.55 to 3.21)
Southern Europe1.37 (0.97 to 1.94)1.64** (1.18 to 2.28)1.89** (1.32 to 2.70)
Asia1.14 (0.62 to 2.09)1.57 (0.97 to 2.56)1.48 (0.88 to 2.47)
General CVD 10-year predicted risk for CVD incidence and death (threshold=20%)18 20
Australia1.65*** (1.43 to 1.91)2.07*** (1.78 to 2.41)2.11*** (1.80 to 2.47)
UK and Ireland1.12 (0.64 to 1.96)1.22 (0.73 to 2.05)1.68* (1.05 to 2.69)
Northern Europe2.60** (1.44 to 4.70)2.76*** (1.58 to 4.80)3.23*** (1.74 to 5.97)
Southern Europe1.17 (0.58 to 2.35)1.77 (0.96 to 3.28)2.15* (1.11 to 4.18)
Asia0.96 (0.19 to 4.94)1.15 (0.29 to 4.57)0.71 (0.13 to 3.92)
Framingham 10-year predicted risk for CVD incidence (threshold=20%)21 22
Australia1.67*** (1.52 to 1.82)2.13*** (1.94 to 2.34)2.37*** (2.14 to 2.63)
UK and Ireland1.71*** (1.30 to 2.25)1.88*** (1.45 to 2.45)2.16*** (1.64 to 2.85)
Northern Europe2.55*** (1.70 to 3.85)2.27*** (1.59 to 3.23)2.33*** (1.60 to 3.40)
Southern Europe1.32 (0.94 to 1.84)1.67** (1.21 to 2.30)2.07*** (1.45 to 2.95)
Asia1.65# (0.99 to 2.76)1.89** (1.20 to 2.97)1.63* (1.02 to 2.61)
  • *p<0.05, **p<0.01, ***p<0.001, #p=0.054.

  • BMI, body mass index; WC, waist circumference; WHR, waist-to-hip ratio.