Table 3

PPV and NPV of different asthma outcome measures

ALSPAC asthma outcomePPV (95% CI)NPV (95% CI)
Single outcomes
 Doctor diagnosis of asthma82.1% (63.1% to 93.9%)97.3% (92.4% to 99.4%)
 Ever reported breathlessness51.3% (34.8% to 67.6%)94.1% (87.6% to 97.8%)
 Ever reported wheezing36.1% (25.1% to 48.3%)100% (94.8% to 100%)
 Wheezing reported on two or more occasions46.0% (31.8% to 60.7%)96.7% (90.7% to 99.3%)
 Reported wheezing after age 347.2% (30.4% to 64.5%)91.4% (84.4% to 96.0%)
 Ever reported a frequent wheeze50.0% (33.4% to 66.6%)93.2% (86.5% to 97.2%)
 Reported a frequent wheeze after age 375.0% (50.9% to 91.3%)90.9% (84.3% to 95.4%)
Combinations of outcomes
 Ever wheezed+ever breathless55.6% (38.1% to 72.1%)94.3% (88.0% to 97.9%)
 Ever symptoms+doctor diagnosis90.0% (68.3% to 98.8%)93.4% (87.4% to 97.1%)
 Wheezing on ≥2 occasions+doctor diagnosis87.0% (89.3% to 98.1%)94.9% (89.3% to 98.1%)
 Ever reported a frequent wheeze+doctor diagnosis94.4% (72.7% to 99.9%)92.7% (86.6% to 96.6%)
  • ALSPAC, Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value.