Table 4

Prediction performance of machine-learning algorithms: 12-month survival

Cancer typeArea under ROC curve (95% CI)
EAR onlyECO onlyEAR+ECO
Genitourinary0.79 (0.75 to 0.83)0.79 (0.75 to 0.83)0.84 (0.80 to 0.87)*,†
Colorectal0.82 (0.78 to 0.86)0.83 (0.79 to 0.86)0.87 (0.83 to 0.90)*,†
Lung0.73 (0.69 to 0.77)0.78 (0.73 to 0.82)*0.82 (0.78 to 0.86)*,†
Breast0.71 (0.65 to 0.78)0.90 (0.86 to 0.94)0.92 (0.89 to 0.96)*
Haematological0.63 (0.59 to 0.68)0.70 (0.66 to 0.75)*0.69 (0.64 to 0.74)*
Upper gastrointestinal0.62 (0.57 to 0.66)0.70 (0.65 to 0.74)*0.72 (0.68 to 0.76)*
Skin0.76 (0.71 to 0.88)0.89 (0.85 to 0.93)*0.93 (0.90 to 0.96)*
Head and neck0.77 (0.73 to 0.88)0.68 (0.63 to 0.73)0.79 (0.75 to 0.84)†
Gynaecological0.95 (0.92 to 0.97)1 (1 to 1)*0.99 (0.98 to 1)*
CNS0.66 (0.58 to 0.73)0.68 (0.61 to 0.76)0.69 (0.63 to 0.76)
Unknown primary0.87 (0.84 to 0.91)0.81 (0.77 to 0.85)0.88 (0.84 to 0.91)
  • *Significantly greater than EAR only.

  • †Significantly greater than ECO only.

  • CNS, central nervous system; EAR, electronic administrative records; ECO, Evaluation of Cancer Outcomes; ROC, receiver operating characteristic.