Table 3

Overall sensitivity and specificity among children without/with caries experience at baseline

Follow-up
Incidence density* (gold standard)
Risk status at baselineHigh rate ≥1.2Low or medium rate <1.2Total
Among all children
 High, n (column proportion)6997 (0.47)†8051 (0.14)15 048
 Low/medium n (column proportion)7831 (0.53)48 551 (0.86)‡56 382
 Total, n14 82856 60271 430
Sensitivity+specificity=1.33
Among children without caries experience at baseline
 High, n (column proportion)186 (0.07)†609 (0.02)795
 Low/medium, n (column proportion)2650 (0.93)29 898 (0.98)‡32 548
 Total, n283630 50733 343
Sensitivity+specificity=1.05
Among children with caries experience at baseline
 High, n (column proportion)6811 (0.57)†7442 (0.29)14 253
 Low/medium, n (column proportion)5181 (0.43)18 653 (0.71)‡23 834
 Total, n11 99226 09538 087
Sensitivity+specificity=1.28
  • *Incidence density: newly affected surfaces per 100 surface-years at risk.

  • †Sensitivity.

  • ‡Specificity.