ARIMA model parameters
| Model | Parameter | Estimate | SE | t | Significance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Males* | Independent variable (three period delay) | Lag 0 | −11.81 | 3.23 | −3.65 | 0.00 |
| Lag 1 | 12.85 | 3.23 | 3.97 | 0.00 | ||
| Females*† | AR | Lag 1 | 0.75 | 0.16 | 4.72 | 0.00 |
| Lag 2 | −0.57 | 0.16 | −3.62 | 0.00 | ||
| Most-deprived wards*‡ | Independent variable (three period delay) | Lag 0 | −43.65 | 18.32 | −2.38 | 0.03 |
| Middle-ranked wards* | Independent variable (three period delay) | Lag 0 | −60.28 | 13.70 | −4.40 | 0.00 |
| Most-affluent wards*§ | Constant | −0.02 | 0.02 | −1.37 | 0.18 |
*Difference order 1.
†Square transformation.
‡Seasonal difference order 1.
§Natural log transformation.