Table 3

HR (95% CI) for developing breast cancer in relation to PAI-1 levels

 Quartiles of PAI-1P trend (median)Continuous (for every SD increase)
IIIIIIIV
All the women
Events/subcohort140/170156/138157/136164/120
 HR*-1-1.40 (1.00 to 1.95)1.44 (1.03 to 2.00)1.70 (1.21 to 2.39)0.00551.20 (1.06 to 1.35)
 HR†-1-1.41 (1.01 to 2.00)1.41 (1.00 to 1.99)1.66 (1.14 to 2.42)0.0181.19 (1.04 to 1.36)
 HR‡-1-1.41 (1.01 to 2.00)1.41 (0.99 to 1.99)1.66 (1.14 to 2.43)0.0191.19 (1.04 to 1.37)
 HR§-1-1.38 (0.98 to 1.95)1.41 (0.99 to 2.00)1.60 (1.07 to 2.40)0.0351.21 (1.05 to 1.40)
Premenopausal status
Events/subcohort82/8278/6556/6750/46
 HR*-1-1.22 (0.76 to 1.95)0.79 (0.47 to 1.31)0.92 (0.53 to 1.62)0.521.03 (0.83 to 1.27)
 HR†-1-1.13 (0.68 to 1.87)0.82 (0.48 to 1.41)1.02 (0.55 to 1.89)0.841.07 (0.85 to 1.34)
 HR‡-1-1.13 (0.69 to 1.87)0.81 (0.47 to 1.40)0.98 (0.52 to 1.84)0.741.06 (0.84 to 1.33)
 HR§-1-1.18 (0.70 to 1.98)0.82 (0.46 to 1.44)1.14 (0.57 to 2.27)0.941.17 (0.89 to 1.53)
Postmenopausal status
Events/subcohort47/7166/5989/60100/66
 HR*-1-1.78 (1.06 to 3.00)2.36 (1.44 to 3.85)2.56 (1.56 to 4.20)0.00061.28 (1.09 to 1.51)
 HR†-1-1.79 (1.05 to 3.07)2.26 (1.35 to 3.78)2.35 (1.37 to 4.03)0.00701.24 (1.03 to 1.49)
 HR‡-1-1.79 (1.04 to 3.07)2.26 (1.35 to 3.78)2.36 (1.37 to 4.06)0.00631.26 (1.04 to 1.53)
 HR§-1-1.70 (0.98 to 2.94)2.15 (1.26 to 3.67)2.14 (1.20 to 3.82)0.0241.22 (1.00 to 1.49)
  • *Adjusted for age; stratified by centre.

  • †Adjusted for age, BMI, smoking habits, total physical activity, education, menopausal status, parity and age at menarche; stratified by centre.

  • ‡As model 2, further adjusted for insulin, stratified by centre.

  • §As model 3, further adjusted for glucose, triglycerides and C reactive protein, stratified by centre; 20 participants are excluded from this analysis because of missing values for glucose or C reactive protein.

  • ¶p for interaction (postmenopausal vs premenopausal): p=0.021 for model 2 and p=0.021 for model 3.

  • BMI, body mass index, PAI-1, plasminogen activator inhibitor-1.