Total deaths delayed or averted by age and deaths delayed or averted from nutritional changes in the diet following taxation scenarios (A) and (B)*
| Deaths averted or delayed, scenarios (A) and (B) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scenario (A) (95% credible intervals) | Scenario (B) (95% credible intervals) | |||
| Energy intake changes | Energy intake stays the same | Energy intake changes | Energy intake stays the same | |
| Total | 7768 (7151 to 8392) | 1207 (1003 to 1431) | −2685 (−3402 to −1966) | 2536 (2195 to 2896) |
| Total under 75 years | 2448 (2254 to 2638) | 463 (386 to 542) | −477 (−719 to−233) | 1082 (945 to 1223) |
| Fruit and vegetables | −75 (−124 to −26) | 696 (540 to 857) | 1996 (1570 to 2420) | 1414 (1118 to 1712) |
| Fibre | −118 (−50 to −185) | 188 (79 to 298) | 439 (185 to 695) | 204 (83 to 326) |
| Fats | 410 (324 to 512) | 373 (292 to 464) | 577 (432 to 735) | 601 (454 to 765) |
| Salt | 426 (356 to 496) | 98 (81 to 114) | −32 (−37 to −26) | 216 (181 to 252) |
| Energy balance | 7124 (6511 to 7737) | 0† | −5726 (−6212 to −5229) | 0† |
| Alcohol consumption | 15 (11 to 19) | −148 (−187 to −107) | −13 (−16 to −9) | 108 (79 to 137) |
*Numbers for each dietary component do not add up to the overall total of deaths delayed or averted because the DIETRON model accounts for double counting of different nutritional components contributing to the same cause of mortality.41 Positive numbers indicate deaths delayed or averted.
†Where there is no change in nutrient consumption there is no parameter to vary for the uncertainty analysis for health outcomes and therefore there are no credible intervals calculated for these dietary components.