Table 8

Sensitivity analysis

 Usual carePhysioDirectIncremental difference (95% CI)
nMean (SD) costnMean (SD) cost
(1) Mimicking an efficient service
 Cost of physiotherapy432£76.56 (£55.34)840£72.22 (£61.55)−£4.34 (−£11.25 to £2.57)
 Cost of NHS services432£100.91 (£502.02)840£112.23 (476.91)£11.32 (−£45.08 to £67.72
 Total cost432£177.46 (£504.49)840£184.44 (£481.83)£6.98 (−£49.89 to £63.85)
 Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER)£1045
 Median net monetary benefit (95% CI) based on bootstrapped results
  λ=£20 000£127 (−£74 to £319)
  λ=£30 000£193 (−£95 to £473)
(2) Excluding hospital costs
 Cost of physiotherapy448£78.49 (£57.14)869£86.84 (£65.25)£8.35 (£1.21 to £15.50)
 Cost of NHS services excluding secondary care448£33.75 (£76.46)869£33.49 (£63.76)−£0.25 (−£8.05 to £7.54)
 Total cost of NHS services including physiotherapy448£112.23 (£99.621)869£120.33 (£98.85)£8.10 (−£3.21 to £19.41)
 Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER)£1084
 Median net monetary benefit (95% CI) based on bootstrapped results
  λ=£20 000£142 (−£41 to £324)
  λ=£30 000£217 (−£56 to £489)
(3) Imputed data
 Cost of physiotherapy743£69.73 (£56.17)1506£74.01 (£63.97)£4.28 (−£1.12 to £9.69)
 Cost of NHS services743£131.37 (£465.49)1506£131.51 (£384.36)£0.17 (−£36.13 to £36.48)
 Total cost of NHS services including physiotherapy743£201.09 (£467.51)1506£205.55 (£390.04)£4.46 (−£32.22 to £41.14)
 Quality-adjusted life years7430.320 (0.003)15060.322 (0.002)0.002 (−0.006 to 0.009)
 Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER)£2260
 Median net monetary benefit (95% CI) based on bootstrapped results
  λ=£20 000 £34 (−£119 to £193)
  λ=£30 000£52 (−£172 to £285)
(4) Imputed data and ‘efficient’ service
 Cost of physiotherapy743£67.61 (£54.19)1506£61.41 (£59.13−£6.20 (−£11.26 to −£1.14)
 Cost of NHS services743£131.37 (£465.49)1506£131.54 (384.36)£0.17 (−£36.13 to £36.48)
 Total cost of NHS services including physiotherapy743£198.98 (£467.48)1506£192.95 (£389.52)−£6.02 (−£42.68 to £30.63)
 Quality-adjusted life years7430.320 (0.003)15060.322(0.002)0.002 (−0.006 to 0.009)
 Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER)−£3054
 Median net monetary benefit (95% CI) based on bootstrapped results
  λ=£20 000£47 (−£113 to £202)
  λ=£30 000£67 (−£165 to £293)
  • NHS, National Health Service.