Table 2

Predictors of the composite cardiovascular outcome in NAVIGATOR participants as identified in a multivariable Cox proportional hazard stepwise selection model

VariableHR (95% CI)Wald χ²p Value
Coronary heart disease*2.10 (1.76 to 2.50)68.8<0.0001
Gender (male vs female)1.89 (1.55 to 2.29)40.9<0.0001
Age (per 10 years)1.32 (1.17 to 1.48)21.4<0.0001
Current smoker1.64 (1.32 to 2.04)19.5<0.0001
Significantly abnormal vs normal ECG1.59 (1.28 to 1.97)17.6<0.0001
LDL cholesterol1.19 (1.09 to 1.30)15.9<0.0001
Cerebrovascular disease*1.56 (1.25 to 1.95)15.5<0.0001
eGFR (per 10 unit decrease below 60 ml/min/1.73 m2)1.31 (1.13 to 1.51)12.60.0004
Peripheral artery disease*1.65 (1.24 to 2.19)11.60.0007
Pulmonary embolism/deep vein thrombosis2.12 (1.36 to 3.31)10.90.0010
Urine albumin/creatinine ratio (log units)1.10 (1.03 to 1.17)9.10.0025
Latin America vs North America1.48 (1.15 to 1.92)9.00.0027
Pulse pressure (per 1 mm Hg)1.01 (1.00 to 1.01)7.80.0051
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease1.44 (1.10 to 1.88)7.10.0077
Black vs all other races1.75 (1.13 to 2.71)6.30.0123
Heart failure1.43 (1.07 to 1.90)5.90.0150
Haemoglobin (per 10 g/l decrease)1.09 (1.02 to 1.16)5.80.0158
Sodium (1 unit decrease below 140 mmol/l)1.11 (1.02 to 1.20)5.50.0185
Waist circumference (per 10 cm)1.08 (1.01 to 1.15)5.40.0197
Atrial fibrillation or flutter1.34 (1.01 to 1.79)4.00.0463
Other vs North America1.40 (0.91 to 2.15)2.30.1285
Insignificantly abnormal vs normal ECG1.11 (0.91 to 1.35)1.10.3000
Europe vs North America0.92 (0.74 to 1.14)0.60.4391
Asia vs North America0.90 (0.59 to 1.37)0.20.6268
  • *For definitions see table 1 footnote.

  • eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; LDL, low-density lipoprotein; NAVIGATOR, Nateglinide and Valsartan in Impaired Glucose Tolerance Outcomes Research.