Table 1

All men eligible for the incidence study

Cumulative incidence, %HR*HRHRHR§
Age
 Youngest half (max 48 y), n=24367.6NA111
 Oldest half (>48 y), n=247016.02.72 (2.27 to 3.26)2.33 (1.95 to 2.79)2.42 (2.01 to 2.92)
Smoking
 Current, n=352212.71111
 Previous, n=9379.90.66 (0.53 to 0.82)0.68 (0.54 to 0.86)0.57 (0.45 to 0.71)0.60 (0.47 to 0.75)
 Never, n=4469.00.59 (0.43 to 0.81)0.63 (0.44 to 0.86)0.50 (0.36 to 0.69)0.51 (0.36 to 0.71)
Alcohol, beverages/d
 0, n=165812.61111
 1–2, n=231510.60.84 (0.70 to 1.01)0.82 (0.68 to 0.99)0.84 (0.69 to 1.00)0.84 (0.69 to 1.02)
 3–5, n=76413.11.18 (0.93 to 1.49)1.06 (0.83 to 1.36)1.07 (0.84 to 1.36)0.87 (0.68 to 1.13)
 6+, n=15116.61.97 (1.30 to 2.99)1.73 (1.13 to 2.65)1.63 (1.06 to 2.50)1.14 (0.73 to 1.77)
Leisure-time physical activity
 Low, n=79815.41111
 Medium, n=347811.30.68 (0.56 to 0.84)0.71 (0.58 to 0.87)0.70 (0.57 to 0.86)0.73 (0.59 to 0.89)
 High, n=4988.10.51 (0.35 to 0.73)0.54 (0.38 to 0.78)0.57 (0.40 to 0.82)0.62 (0.43 to 0.90)
BMI
 −25, n=235810.11111
 >25 to 28, n=171011.91.11 (0.92 to 1.34)1.14 (0.94 to 1.38)0.97 (0.80 to 1.18)0.96 (0.79 to 1.56)
 >28, n=82916.71.66 (1.34 to 2.04)1.67 (1.34 to 2.08)1.25 (1.0 to 1.56)1.23 (0.97 to 1.56)
Systolic BP, mm Hg
 −120, n=13836.41111
 >120 to 150, n=286912.62.01 (1.59 to 2.53)2.09 (1.65 to 2.66)1.65 (1.29 to 2.11)1.80 (1.40 to 2.34)
 >150, n=65020.23.32 (2.52 to 4.36)3.54 (2.67 to 4.70)2.02 (1.44 to 2.85)2.42 (1.72 to 3.41)
Diastolic BP, mm Hg
 −75, n=14218.31111
 >75 to 90, n=273611.41.38 (1.11 to 1.70)1.48 (1.19 to 1.84)1.16 (0.93 to 1.45)1.12 (0.89 to 1.42)
 >90, n=74520.02.79 (2.12 to 3.44)2.91 (2.26 to 3.75)1.66 (1.21 to 2.27)1.74 (1.27 to 2.37)
Hypertension**
 No, n=482611.61111
 Yes, n=7727.32.41 (1.56 to 3.73)2.36 (1.52 to 3.66)1.38 (0.87 to 2.17)1.46 (0.92 to 2.30)
Physical fitness (VO2max)
 15–26, n=88216.71111
 27–38, n=301711.50.74 (0.61 to 0.90)0.76 (0.62 to 0.93)0.88 (0.71 to 1.07)0.88 (0.71 to 1.08)
 39–78, n=10078.50.56 (0.43 to 0.73)0.60 (0.45 to 0.80)0.77 (0.57 to 1.02)0.78 (0.58 to 1.05)
Psychological pressure at work
 No, n=383412.21111
 Yes, n=106010.50.86 (0.70 to 1.05)0.86 (0.70 to 1.07)0.84 (0.68 to 1.04)0.88 (0.70 to 1.10)
Psychological pressure at leisure
 No, n=455611.81111
 Yes, n=33212.71.11 (0.81 to 1.53)1.04 (0.75 to 1.44)1.17 (0.85 to 1.60)1.14 (0.81 to 1.61)
Work, h/week
 <40, n=6288.31111
 40–45, n=336612.91.62 (1.22 to 2.16)1.57 (1.17 to 2.10)1.57 (1.17 to 2.09)1.25 (0.92 to 1.69)
 >45, n=91110.21.28 (0.91 to 1.79)1.33 (0.94 to 1.88)1.26 (0.89 to 1.77)1.12 (0.79 to 1.59)
Social class
 High (I, II, III), n=21969.11111
 Low (IV, V), n=268814.01.72 (1.45 to 2.05)1.61 (1.35 to 1.93)1.72 (1.45 to 2.05)1.48 (1.22 to 1.79)
  • Lifestyle and other predictors of IHD mortality (n=579, 11.8%) during the 30-year follow-up 1970/1971 to 2001. Statistically significant results are highlighted in bold.

  • * Adjusted for age.

  • Adjusted for age + lifestyle (smoking, leisure-time physical activity, alcohol).

  • Adjusted for age + clinical factors (BMI, BP including treatment for, physical fitness).

  • § Age + all other confounders/risk factors (lifestyle, clinical factors, psychosocial stress at work and leisure, number of work hours and social class).

  • Reference category.

  • ** Receives doctor's treatment due to hypertension.

  • BMI, body mass index; BP, blood pressure; IHD, ischaemic heart disease; NA, not applicable.