Table 5

Exposure prevalence and HRs for cancers causally related to body fatness or both tobacco and alcohol over 10-year follow-up

Risk factorsMen and womenMenWomen
Prevalence*HR (95% CI)†Prevalence*HR (95% CI)†Prevalence*HR (95% CI)†
Body fatness (BMI; kg/m2)‡,§
  Underweight (<18.5)2%0.84 (0.69 to 1.01)1%1.22 (0.80 to 1.87)2%0.78 (0.63 to 0.96)
  Healthy weight (18.5–24.9)35%128%142%1
  Overweight (25.0–29.9)36%1.14 (1.09 to 1.20)42%1.18 (1.08 to 1.29)29%1.13 (1.06 to 1.20)
  Obese (≥30.0)28%1.36 (1.29 to 1.44)28%1.42 (1.28 to 1.58)27%1.35 (1.26 to 1.44)
Smoking¶
  Never regular57%151%163%1
  Former regular28%1.29 (1.20 to 1.37)32%1.44 (1.31 to 1.57)25%1.20 (1.08 to 1.32)
  Current regular15%1.59 (1.43 to 1.77)17%1.96 (1.70 to 2.26)12%1.29 (1.09 to 1.52)
Alcohol consumption¶
 ≤2 drinks/day83%174%191%1
 >2 drinks/day17%1.38 (1.27 to 1.50)26%1.41 (1.28 to 1.55)9%1.27 (1.06 to 1.51)
Smoking by alcohol consumption
 ≤2 drinks/day
   Never regular smoker51%142%159%1
   Former regular smoker22%1.24 (1.15 to 1.34)22%1.35 (1.22 to 1.50)21%1.19 (1.07 to 1.32)
   Current regular smoker10%1.41 (1.24 to 1.61)10%1.74 (1.44 to 2.09)10%1.21 (1.00 to 1.45)
 >2 drinks/day
   Never regular smoker6%19%14%1
   Former regular smoker7%1.44 (1.21 to 1.72)10%1.53 (1.25 to 1.86)4%1.20 (0.81 to 1.80)
   Current regular smoker4%2.09 (1.67 to 2.62)7%2.24 (1.73 to 2.89)2%1.73 (1.06 to 2.81)
  • *From the National Health Survey (NHS) 2014–2015.

  • †Adjusted for age, sex and study.

  • ‡Some percentages do not add up to 100 because of rounding.

  • §Cancers causally related to body fatness are oesophageal adenocarcinoma (C15, histology codes 8140–8576), cancers of stomach (C16), colon (C18), rectum (C19-20), liver (C22), gallbladder (C23) and pancreas (C25), postmenopausal breast cancer (C50), cancers of corpus uteri (C54) and ovary (C56), renal-cell carcinoma (C64, histology codes 8050, 8140, 8260, 8270, 8280–8312, 8316–8320, 8340–8344), meningioma (C70), thyroid cancer (C73) and multiple myeloma (C90). After exclusion of individuals with prevalent body fatness-related cancer at baseline, 351 035 individuals were available for analyses and 328 438 (93.6%) of them had BMI information available.

  • ¶Cancers causally related to both tobacco and alcohol are cancers of tongue (C01-02), mouth (C03-C06), oropharynx (C10), hypopharynx (C12-C13), other sites in pharynx (C14), oesophagus (C15), colon (C18), rectum (C19-C20), liver (C22) and larynx (C32). After exclusion of individuals with prevalent tobacco and alcohol-related cancer at baseline, 359 796 individuals were available for analyses and 356 117 (99.0%) of them had smoking, 351 119 (97.6%) alcohol consumption and 348 070 (96.7%) both smoking and alcohol consumption information available.

  • BMI, body mass index.