Table 4

Total non-communicable disease deaths and YLDs that are averted or delayed between 2010 and 2025, for each of the risk factor target scenarios

 30–69 years70+ years
MenWomenMenWomen
Deaths
 Obesity13 000 (8900 to 17 000)4500 (500 to 8600)47 000 (34 000 to 60 000)26 000 (11 000 to 40 000)
 Tobacco use5100 (4800 to 5400)4300 (4100 to 4400)14 000 (13 000 to 15 000)15 000 (14 000 to 15 000)
 Diabetes7200 (5900 to 8600)2500 (2000 to 2900)38 000 (30 000 to 45 000)32 000 (26 000 to 38 000)
 Raised blood pressure5700 (5400 to 6100)2300 (2100 to 2500)25 000 (24 000 to 26 000)23 000 (22 000 to 24 000)
 Salt intake9000 (8700 to 9400)2500 (2400 to 2600)38 000 (37 000 to 39 000)26 000 (25 000 to 27 000)
 Harmful alcohol use4900 (3000 to 6900)2000 (1200 to 2800)11 000 (7100 to 16 000)6100 (800 to 11 000)
 Physical inactivity920 (660 to 1200)320 (240 to 400)4300 (3200 to 5400)3900 (2800 to 4900)
 Combined scenario38 000 (32 000 to 44 000)13 000 (8500 to 17 000)150 000 (130 000 to 170 000)99 000 (79 000 to 120 000)
YLDs
 Obesity79 000 (66 000 to 93 000)50 000 (38 000 to 63 000)150 000 (120 000 to 170 000)98 000 (66 000 to 130 000)
 Tobacco use20 000 (20 000 to 21 000)25 000 (25 000 to 26 000)27 000 (26 000 to 28 000)37 000 (36 000 to 38 000)
 Diabetes190 000 (190 000 to 190 000)160 000 (160 000 to 160 000)330 000 (320 000 to 340 000)290 000 (290 000 to 300 000)
 Raised blood pressure18 000 (17 000 to 19 000)12 000 (11 000 to 13 000)40 000 (38 000 to 42 000)31 000 (29 000 to 33 000)
 Salt intake29 000 (28 000 to 30 000)14 000 (14 000 to 15 000)60 000 (57 000 to 62 000)34 000 (33 000 to 36 000)
 Harmful alcohol use6200 (−18 000 to 30 000)−280 (−8700 to 8100)14 000 (−25 000 to 53 000)3100 (−12 000 to 18 000)
 Physical inactivity6200 (5300 to 7000)5500 (4700 to 6200)13 000 (11 000 to 15 000)13 000 (11 000 to 14 000)
 Combined scenario260 000 (240 000 to 280 000)200 000 (190 000 to 210 000)480 000 (430 000 to 520 000)370 000 (350 000 to 400 000)
  • Values are mean and 95% uncertainty intervals.

  • YLDs, years lived with disability.