Number of cardiometabolic mortality attributable to each risk factor from 1998 to 2011 with 95% uncertainty intervals
| Percentage of death (95% UI) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | |||||||||
| Risk factor | Disease | 1998 | 2001 | 2005 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |
| Low intake of fruits | HSTK | 4534.2 (3866.1 to 5090.0) | 4193.5 (3516.3 to 4827.5) | 3137.3 (2579.3 to 3678.7) | 2852.6 (2378.1 to 3316.1) | 2922.0 (2413.5 to 3382.6) | 2726.0 (2251.4 to 3175.2) | 3030.6 (2513.3 to 3519.5) | 2883.6 (2385.7 to 3374.6) |
| ISTK | 1118.0 (944.2 to 1283.1) | 1427.8 (1177.4 to 1655.9) | 1544.3 (1228.8 to 1857.6) | 1640.4 (1320.2 to 1998.1) | 1573.5 (1262.2 to 1876.3) | 1390.2 (1107.6 to 1655.1) | 1440.6 (1123.9 to 1753.8) | 1409.3 (1085.0 to 1707.4) | |
| TSTK | 5652.2 (4977.4 to 6259.1) | 5621.3 (4899.3 to 6298.8) | 4681.6 (4049.5 to 5331.2) | 4492.9 (3934.0 to 5087.0) | 4495.5 (3892.6 to 5072.8) | 4116.2 (3548.6 to 4673.1) | 4471.2 (3858.4 to 5035.8) | 4292.9 (3705.6 to 4872.1) | |
| IHD | 1182.3 (984 to 1383.5) | 1344.9 (1100.6 to 1581.6) | 1440.7 (1133.5 to 1753.5) | 1676.1 (1317.5 to 2038.2) | 1577.0 (1245.1 to 1904) | 1604.1 (1269.7 to 1963.4) | 1774.6 (1373.1 to 2188.6) | 1820.3 (1405.1 to 2213.9) | |
| Low intake of vegetables | HSTK | 1402.7 (1038.4 to 1776.1) | 1763.7 (1306.3 to 2187.8) | 1496.4 (1105.3 to 1871.9) | 1670.8 (1244.9 to 2082.8) | 1683.2 (1268 to 2076.9) | 1638.3 (1226.8 to 2042.3) | 1751.1 (1347.6 to 2163.3) | 1640.0 (1207.7 to 2033.8) |
| ISTK | 483.3 (343.4 to 622.6) | 827.6 (589.0 to 1088.2) | 1049.7 (704.2 to 1424.8) | 1429.4 (947.2 to 1953.6) | 1295.2 (855.5 to 1726.1) | 1204.4 (772.6 to 1619.1) | 1159 .0 (704.1 to 1601.2) | 1158.3 (683.8 to 1611.9) | |
| TSTK | 1886.0 (1501.6 to 2260.8) | 2591.2 (2062.2 to 3080.7) | 2546.1 (2009.4 to 3093.5) | 3100.2 (2436.7 to 3763.6) | 2978.3 (2399.7 to 3572.8) | 2842.7 (2255.6 to 3429.5) | 2910.1 (2310.3 to 3462.7) | 2798.4 (2153.0 to 3424.0) | |
| IHD | 404.5 (343.9 to 469.6) | 665.7 (560.0 to 781.0) | 837.7 (683.2 to 983.4) | 1211.4 (1004.7 to 1433.1) | 1107.1 (924.0 to 1289.6) | 1164.3 (957.9 to 1372.9) | 1235.5 (1008.3 to 1463.6) | 1273.6 (1035.2 to 1498.2) | |
| Low intake of whole grains | HSTK | 1936.3 (1755.8 to 2107.3) | 1982.9 (1804.4 to 2172.5) | 1569.3 (1416.3 to 1720.8) | 1360.7 (1232.4 to 1491.8) | 1308.2 (1179.5 to 1438.3) | 1209.7 (1091.9 to 1324.7) | 1253.2 (1134.9 to 1374.9) | 1175.8 (1053.4 to 1281.4) |
| ISTK | 949.3 (844.3 to 1048.0) | 1380.4 (1221.0 to 1530.5) | 1589.7 (1377.9 to 1798.5) | 1558.7 (1341.8 to 1777.6) | 1406.8 (1219.4 to 1605.6) | 1241.7 (1056.4 to 1409.3) | 1188.5 (1010.5 to 1369.9) | 1139.1 (962.7 to 1318.4) | |
| TSTK | 2885.5 (2692.6 to 3093.6) | 3363.2 (3125.9 to 3597.8) | 3158.9 (2890.3 to 3419.9) | 2919.4 (2663.8 to 3163.5) | 2715.0 (2491.2 to 2953.8) | 2451.4 (2239.1 to 2661.4) | 2441.7 (2230.9 to 2653.2) | 2314.9 (2111.7 to 2521.9) | |
| IHD | 1341.6 (1182.7 to 1499.2) | 1778.1 (1563.6 to 1987.0) | 2064.5 (1789.8 to 2337.5) | 2188.3 (1856.8 to 2504.1) | 1940.3 (1664.9 to 2209.5) | 1947.2 (1671.9 to 2225.6) | 1995.9 (1694.7 to 2276.4) | 2022.8 (1713.4 to 2314.7) | |
| DM | 2136.6 (1829.1 to 2440.7) | 2389.2 (2060.6 to 2744.4) | 2325.4 (1980.0 to 2650.3) | 2167.2 (1827.2 to 2497.9) | 1954.9 (1648.5 to 2243.2) | 1833.2 (1554.4 to 2096.9) | 1927.1 (1623.4 to 2229.7) | 1985.6 (1656.4 to 2316.4) | |
| High intake of processed meats | IHD | 16.0 (11.2 to 21.0) | 24.9 (17.5 to 32.8) | 27.0 (19.3 to 35.4) | 19.2 (12.5 to 26.0) | 17.3 (11.6 to 23.1) | 16.0 (10.9 to 21.4) | 19.2 (13.3 to 25.5) | 20.5 (13.8 to 27.0) |
| DM | 18.9 (15.6 to 22.3) | 26.6 (22.3 to 31.3) | 26.2 (21.3 to 31.0) | 16.7 (13.5 to 19.9) | 14.6 (11.9 to 17.1) | 12.2 (10.1 to 14.5) | 15.9 (13.2 to 18.8) | 16.8 (14.1 to 19.7) | |
| High intake of unprocessed meats | DM | 220.4 (155.4 to 288.7) | 204.7 (151.1 to 262.8) | 152.2 (109.3 to 193.2) | 152.3 (107.1 to 195.5) | 107.5 (78.5 to 135.3) | 97.0 (70.7 to 124.5) | 100.2 (72.8 to 128.0) | 95.6 (70.0 to 122.3) |
| High intake of sodium | HSTK | 2107.4 (1749.1 to 2489.5) | 3404.0 (2859.9 to 3919.9) | 2195.6 (1745.3 to 2693.1) | 2123.1 (1665.1 to 2540.5) | 1202.3 (934.8 to 1455.4) | 1559.0 (1288.0 to 1846.6) | 1402.4 (1137.8 to 1686.9) | 1680.4 (1415.6 to 1989.4) |
| ISTK | 995.6 (813.4 to 1175.2) | 2417.9 (2052.0 to 2796.0) | 2340.1 (1856.2 to 2905.3) | 2424.1 (1858.8 to 2971.0) | 1020.5 (740.2 to 1322.1) | 1293.4 (1033.1 to 1550.8) | 1326.4 (1059 to 1610.4) | 1496.3 (1237.6 to 1765.6) | |
| TSTK | 3103.0 (2694.1 to 3527.4) | 5821.9 (5151.3 to 6465.9) | 4535.7 (3821.5 to 5307.4) | 4547.1 (3842.1 to 5269.3) | 2222.8 (1819 to 2609.8) | 2852.4 (2456.7 to 3220.3) | 2728.7 (2350.3 to 3099.8) | 3176.7 (2786.9 to 3543.7) | |
| AA | 46.6 (39.0 to 54.5) | 107.6 (91.6 to 123.6) | 118.5 (97.7 to 142.5) | 125.8 (102.8 to 151.5) | 70 .0 (55.6 to 85.7) | 88.5 (73.6 to 102.6) | 92.6 (77.3 to 107.9) | 120.3 (102.0 to 139.4) | |
| HHD | 297.8 (250.7 to 347.7) | 1314.1 (1084.2 to 1527.8) | 1090.8 (843.1 to 1348.2) | 1311.2 (972.1 to 1630.9) | 329.2 (177.7 to 510.9) | 441.3 (324.1 to 576.2) | 561.4 (420.3 to 705.3) | 694.6 (543.0 to 854.6) | |
| RHD | 5.4 (4.3 to 6.7) | 16.6 (12.7 to 20.6) | 24.4 (18.4 to 30.3) | 21.9 (16.6 to 27.6) | 11.5 (8.7 to 14.5) | 13.3 (10.7 to 16.2) | 12.9 (9.9 to 16.4) | 15.7 (12.0 to 19.7) | |
| IHD | 1178.0 (959.5 to 1393.1) | 2628.1 (2156.2 to 3076.8) | 2815.9 (2078.3 to 3666.0) | 3165.6 (2353.5 to 4042.8) | 1373.1 (1034.8 to 1764.1) | 2008.8 (1587.9 to 2427.5) | 2031.6 (1555.1 to 2537.2) | 2482.8 (1960.8 to 3059.3) | |
| High fasting plasma glucose | TSTK | 1920.4 (1843.1 to 2000.5) | 1943.4 (1831.8 to 2057.5) | 1804 (1663.9 to 1951.2) | 1762.5 (1588.3 to 1909.2) | 1756.7 (1656.7 to 1856.1) | 1672.4 (1574.4 to 1774) | 1581.8 (1477.7 to 1689.5) | 1537.1 (1442.8 to 1630.2) |
| IHD | 1205.0 (1149.2 to 1263.5) | 1464.1 (1373.1 to 1560.0) | 1807.6 (1642.3 to 1970.2) | 2047.5 (1843.3 to 2250.6) | 1878.2 (1758 to 1999.4) | 2037.6 (1921.1 to 2162.6) | 2039.5 (1895.2 to 2190.6) | 2127.9 (1984.1 to 2269.2) | |
| High total cholesterol | ISTK | 531.8 (519.2 to 544.6) | 655.5 (639.3 to 672.7) | 526.6 (508.8 to 544.1) | 498.4 (479.8 to 517.7) | 419.3 (406.6 to 432) | 349.1 (338.6 to 359.7) | 317.5 (308.2 to 326.2) | 291.4 (282.9 to 299.4) |
| IHD | 2389.0 (2330.7 to 2446.8) | 3453.6 (3364.9 to 3548.1) | 3849.6 (3678.7 to 4018.6) | 4314.4 (4114.2 to 4518) | 3833.7 (3698 to 3961.9) | 3751.0 (3613.3 to 3878.4) | 3855.5 (3684.9 to 4025.3) | 3940.9 (3791.2 to 4079.0) | |
| High systolic blood pressure | HSTK | 6497.4 (6391.5 to 6615) | 6343.0 (6190.5 to 6501.5) | 4330.3 (4182.0 to 4475.8) | 3080.6 (2936.6 to 3226.0) | 2778.7 (2680.3 to 2878.4) | 3394.1 (3312.1 to 3475.2) | 3506.6 (3412.9 to 3598.8) | 2853.9 (2761.7 to 2942.2) |
| ISTK | 3659.5 (3555.9 to 3754.2) | 5220.6 (5013.2 to 5427) | 5502.9 (5225.7 to 5784.5) | 4386.4 (4079.3 to 4696.4) | 3732.7 (3540.0 to 3914.1) | 4336.9 (4174.6 to 4498.9) | 4086.9 (3912.0 to 4271.9) | 3331.6 (3151.5 to 3509.0) | |
| TSTK | 10157.0 (10007.8 to 10304.7) | 11563.6 (11308.3 to 11804.9) | 9833.1 (9522.9 to 10150.6) | 7467.0 (7124.7 to 7806.8) | 6511.4 (6300.0 to 6731.9) | 7731.0 (7547.5 to 7922.6) | 7593.4 (7393.5 to 7805.2) | 6185.6 (5981.5 to 6387.9) | |
| IHD | 4171.9 (4061.9 to 4282) | 5624.0 (5416.7 to 5819.3) | 6119.1 (5815.5 to 6416.9) | 5315.0 (4942.8 to 5672.4) | 4364.2 (4145.9 to 4576.7) | 5905.2 (5702.1 to 6103.6) | 6052.2 (5823.7 to 6290.0) | 5270.7 (5012.7 to 5509.4) | |
| HHD | 945.9 (926.1 to 962.5) | 2863.8 (2766.8 to 2955.7) | 2195.7 (2092.6 to 2291.4) | 2158.9 (1997.8 to 2315.8) | 1641.7 (1558.8 to 1724.9) | 1716.0 (1661.9 to 1768.0) | 1781.6 (1715.5 to 1849.9) | 1763.4 (1675.4 to 1850.8) | |
| RHD | 19.3 (18.8 to 19.9) | 38.8 (37.2 to 40.5) | 56.3 (53.7 to 58.6) | 37.4 (34.8 to 39.8) | 34.0 (32.4 to 35.7) | 34.8 (33.5 to 36.0) | 41.6 (40.1 to 43.2) | 32.9 (31.4 to 34.3) | |
| AA | 174.7 (170.1 to 179.0) | 230.7 (222.2 to 238.6) | 267.2 (254.1 to 281.3) | 219.3 (205.6 to 233.4) | 211.9 (201.8 to 222.2) | 255.6 (246.9 to 265.3) | 267.5 (257.4 to 277.7) | 242.2 (231.1 to 253.9) | |
| High body mass index | HSTK | 2161.2 (2108.7 to 2218.3) | 2599.7 (2537.3 to 2659.4) | 2171.3 (2112.5 to 2224.9) | 1870.3 (1807.3 to 1934.1) | 1750.4 (1712.0 to 1791.9) | 1655.3 (1619.0 to 1691.9) | 1655.7 (1618.1 to 1697.0) | 1559.2 (1522.2 to 1599.1) |
| ISTK | 625.6 (600.9 to 649.8) | 1095.7 (1042.1 to 1147.9) | 1311.0 (1233.4 to 1393.1) | 1306.9 (1219.5 to 1393.2) | 1109.3 (1055.7 to 1161.0) | 989.9 (943.1 to 1035.1) | 953.5 (899.3 to 1006.4) | 877.6 (832.3 to 920.9) | |
| TSTK | 2786.8 (2730.9 to 2848.2) | 3695.3 (3614.9 to 3773.7) | 3482.3 (3390.5 to 3577.8) | 3177.2 (3070.6 to 3283.4) | 2859.7 (2794.1 to 2924.7) | 2645.2 (2586.6 to 2702.3) | 2609.1 (2542.0 to 2676.5) | 2436.9 (2376.1 to 2491.7) | |
| IHD | 997.1 (961.7 to 1033.6) | 1694.8 (1627.9 to 1766.5) | 2188.2 (2067.7 to 2305.8) | 2427.3 (2274.5 to 2574.8) | 2042.7 (1956.6 to 2125.4) | 2122.3 (2033.2 to 2209.7) | 2190.2 (2079.9 to 2303) | 2160.4 (2057.6 to 2259.5) | |
| DM | 2822.6 (2716.9 to 2924.3) | 3977.4 (3841.1 to 4121.2) | 4265.1 (4096.8 to 4455.6) | 4129.4 (3921.8 to 4346.4) | 3591.6 (3461.0 to 3722.6) | 3469.3 (3350.8 to 3608.0) | 3697.3 (3535.0 to 3861.1) | 3727.6 (3589.1 to 3877.1) | |
| HHD | 225.5 (211.6 to 240.1) | 801.1 (730.4 to 873.5) | 725.1 (656.6 to 797.2) | 946.7 (849.4 to 1041.0) | 688.8 (638.8 to 744.2) | 617.7 (573.6 to 660.0) | 695.4 (643.4 to 748.9) | 684.9 (632.6 to 739.4) | |
The values were expressed as population attributable death number for each risk factors (95% Uncertainty Intervals). HSTK, haemorrhagic stroke; ISTK, ischemic stroke; TSTK, total strokes; IHD, ischemic heart disease; DM, diabetes; AA, aortic aneurysm and dissection; HHD, hypertensive heart disease; RHD, rheumatic heart disease.