All | Reclassified up | Reclassified down | NRI (95% CI; p Value) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kelder diagnostic rule7† | ||||
All-cause mortality | ||||
Dead, n (%) | 177 | 10 (5.6) | 44 (25) | −0.19 (−0.27 to −0.11; <0.001) |
Alive, n (%) | 188 | 8 (3.7) | 49 (26) | −0.22 (−0.29 to −0.14; <0.001) |
Total, n (%) | 365 | 18 (4.9) | 93 (25) | 0.026 (−0.075 to 0.13; 0.65) |
Cardiovascular mortality | ||||
Dead, n (%) | 78 | 2 (2.6) | 20 (26) | −0.23 (−0.34 to −0.13; <0.001) |
Alive, n (%) | 287 | 16 (5.6) | 73 (25) | −0.20 (−0.31 to −0.19; <0.001) |
Total, n (%) | 365 | 18 (4.9) | 93 (25) | −0.03 (−0.15 to 0.09; 0.64) |
Heart failure | ||||
Present, n (%) | 80 | 2 (2.7) | 10 (14) | −0.11 (−0.21 to −0.02; 0.001) |
Absent, n (%) | 285 | 16 (5.5) | 83 (29) | −0.23 (−0.29 to −0.17; <0.001) |
Total, n (%) | 365 | 18 (4.9) | 93 (25) | 0.12 (0.007 to 0.22; 0.04) |
Oudejans diagnostic rule8‡ | ||||
All-cause mortality | ||||
Dead, n (%) | 177 | 2 (1.1) | 57 (32) | −0.31 (−0.38 to −0.24; <0.001) |
Alive, n (%) | 188 | 1 (0.5) | 72 (38) | −0.38 (−0.45 to −0.31; <0.001) |
Total, n (%) | 365 | 3 (0.8) | 129 (35) | 0.07 (−0.03 to 0.17; 0.28) |
Cardiovascular mortality | ||||
Dead, n (%) | 78 | 1 (1.3) | 22 (28) | −0.27 (−0.38 to −0.16; <0.001) |
Alive, n (%) | 287 | 2 (0.7) | 107 (37) | −0.37 (−0.42 to −0.31; <0.001) |
Total, n (%) | 365 | 3 (0.8) | 129 (35) | 0.10 (−0.03 to 0.22; 0.18) |
Heart failure | ||||
Present, n (%) | 74 | 1 (1.3) | 14 (19) | −0.18 (−0.28 to −0.08; <0.001) |
Absent, n (%) | 291 | 2 (0.7) | 115 (40) | −0.39 (−0.45 to −0.33; <0.001) |
Total, n (%) | 365 | 3 (0.8) | 129 (35) | 0.21 (0.09 to 0.32; <0.001) |
Diagnostic rule of Mant et al6 | ||||
All-cause mortality | ||||
Dead, n (%) | 177 | 12 (6.8) | 32 (18) | −0.11 (−0.18 to −0.04; 0.002) |
Alive, n (%) | 188 | 19 (10) | 51 (27) | −0.17 (−0.25 to −0.09; <0.001) |
Total, n (%) | 365 | 31 (8) | 83 (23) | 0.06 (−0.05 to 0.16; 0.32) |
Cardiovascular mortality | ||||
Dead, n (%) | 78 | 1 (1.3) | 15 (19) | −0.18 (−0.28 to −0.09; <0.001) |
Alive, n (%) | 287 | 30 (10) | 68 (24) | −0.13 (−0.19 to −0.07; <0.001) |
Total, n (%) | 365 | 31 (8) | 83 (23) | −0.05 (−0.17 to 0.06; 0.52) |
Heart failure | ||||
Present, n (%) | 74 | 2 (2.7) | 11 (15) | −0.12 (−0.22 to −0.03; 0.005) |
Absent, n (%) | 291 | 29 (10) | 72 (25) | −0.15 (−0.21 to −0.09; <0.001) |
Total, n (%) | 365 | 31 (8) | 83 (23) | 0.026 (−0.09 to 0.13; 0.66) |
*Comparison between the rules of Kelder, Oudejans and Mant with the ESC 2012 diagnostic algorithm.
†Dichotomous variable with a cut-off >54.
‡Dichotomous variable with a cut-off >16.
ESC, European Society of Cardiology; NRI, net reclassification improvement.