Table 2

Estimated CHD deaths prevented by achieving risk factor policy options for no mortality change scenario, by sex, in Turkey

Risk factorsModest scenarioIdeal scenario
Men (95% CI)Women (95% CI)Total (95% CI)%Men (95% CI)Women (95% CI)Total (95% CI)%
Salt intake7715 (7285 to 8155)9280 (8340 to 10 250)16 995 (15 625 to 18 405)36.113 100 (12 420 to 13 795)15 210 (13 765 to 16 655)28 310 (26 185 to 30 450)33.6
Saturated/unsaturated fat2785 (2660 to 2885)3625 (3510 to 3770)6410 (6170 to 6655)13.65690 (5490 to 5900)7470 (7240 to 7770)13 160 (12 730 to 13 670)15.6
Fruit and vegetable3360 (1960 to 4740)2830 (1530 to 4095)6190 (3490 to 8835)13.18775 (5090 to 12 515)7380 (3925 to 10 820)16 155 (9015 to 23 335)19.2
Diabetes4885 (3955 to 5870)5100 (3950 to 6255)9985 (7905 to 12 125)21.25820 (4775 to 6925)6060 (4750 to 7355)11 880 (9525 to 14 280)14.1
BMI785 (45 to 1540)655 (−230 to 1540)1440 (−185 to 3080)3.11560 (890 to 2235)1550 (935 to 2205)3110 (1825 to 4440)3.7
Smoking1215 (1045 to 1385)1080 (895 to 1275)2295 (1940 to 2660)4.92505 (2150 to 2860)1570 (1305 to 1840)4075 (3455 to 4700)4.8
Physical inactivity2370 (1985 to 2835)1455 (1255 to 1710)3825 (3240 to 4545)8.14645 (3895 to 5540)2855 (2465 to 3340)7500 (6360 to 8880)8.9
Total23 115 (18 925 to 27 415)24 025 (19 250 to 28 895)47 140 (38 175 to 56 310)100.042 095 (34 705 to 49 765)42 095 (34 390 to 49 980)84 190 (69 095 to 99 745)100.0
  • BMI, body mass index; CHD, coronary heart disease.