Table 2

Outcomes of isolation control policy scenarios on the basis of the expected reproductive number Re, as computed by running the agent-based simulation from 17 April to the mid-June 2015 (keeping all other values of the model parameters fixed). Sparser density refers to a per cent reduction of the expected density of the contact network compared with the 0.63 value that was estimated for the second period (18 February–17 April 2015)

PeriodPercentage of Sparser densityNetwork density (α)Re
(18 April–17 June 2015)10∼0.57∼1.7
20∼0.51∼1.5
30∼0.44∼1.4
40∼0.38∼1.2
50∼0.32∼1.0