Elsevier

The Lancet

Volume 352, Issue 9135, 10 October 1998, Pages 1172-1177
The Lancet

Articles
Relation between semen quality and fertility: a population-based study of 430 first-pregnancy planners

https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(97)10514-1Get rights and content

Summary

Background

Semen analysis is part of the routine assessment of infertile couples. WHO defines a sperm concentration above 20×106 per mL seminal fluid as normal. We studied the association between semen quality and the probability of conception in a single menstrual cycle in Danish couples with no previous reproductive experience.

Methods

In 1992–94, we invited 52 255 trades-union members aged 20–35 years, who lived with a partner and had no children to take part in the study; 430 couples agreed. The couples discontinued use of contraception, and were followed up for six menstrual cycles or until a pregnancy was verified within this period. Each man was asked to provide a semen sample at enrolment (which was analysed without freezing). Women kept a daily record of vaginal bleeding and sexual activity. The association between semen quality and likelihood of pregnancy was assessed by logistic regression, adjusted for sexual activity and female factors associated with low fertility.

Results

There were 256 (59·5%) pregnancies among the 430 couples: 165 (65·0%) among those with a sperm concentration of 40×106/mL or more and 84 (51·2%) among those with lower sperm concentrations. The probability of conception increased with increasing sperm concentration up to 40×106/mL, but any higher sperm density was not associated with additional likelihood of pregnancy. The proportion of sperm with normal morphology was strongly related to likelihood of pregnancy independently of sperm concentration. Semen volume and motility were of limited value in pregnancy prediction.

Interpretation

Our study suggests that the current WHO guidelines for normal semen quality should be used with caution. Some men with sperm counts above the lower limit of the normal range defined by WHO may in fact be subfertile.

Introduction

Semen analysis has been part of the standard diagnostic routine for infertile couples ever since low sperm count was linked to male infertility. The sperm count remains the standard measure, but there is debate about the importance of sperm concentration in male infertility. In a study of 800 fathers in 1951,1 the lower limit of the normal range of sperm concentration was set at 60×106 spermatozoa per mL seminal fluid. The lower limit has been successively reduced to 20×106/mL,2 which was subsequently adopted by WHO as a guideline to diagnose male infertility.3 Routine semen analysis also includes measures of sperm morphology and motility, which may have significant effects on male fertility.4

Previous studies of semen characteristics and male infertility were limited because they included only infertile couples or only men who had fathered a child.1, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15 Some of these studies did not take account of time gaps between semen analysis and fertility assessment, or lacked information on female infertility and sexual activity. To address these issues, we studied the relation between semen characteristics and the probability of pregnancy for couples who had no previous reproductive experience.

Section snippets

Participants

In 1992–94 we wrote to 52 255 Danish trades-union members (metalworkers, office workers, nurses, day-care workers) aged 20–35 years, who lived with a partner and had no children. Couples were eligible for the study if they had no previous reproductive experience, and now intended to stop contraception and have children. Couples were ineligible if they had ever deliberately tried to have a child, whether successfully or not, if the woman had ever miscarried, had an induced abortion, or given

Participants' and semen characteristics

35 couples of the 430 withdrew from the study before the woman became pregnant (table 1); 20 because of changes to family plans, and 15 because of azoospermia, amenorrhoea, or anovulation. 12 men did not provide a semen sample at enrolment.

Characteristics of semen samples are given in table 2. Paired analysis showed that the mean sperm concentration of frozen follow-up samples was 7·6% lower than that of unfrozen enrolment samples (p=0·17), the mean volume was 14·2% larger (p=0·0001), and the

Discussion

This study has linked semen quality with the probability of conception among first-pregnancy planners. Low sperm concentrations were strongly associated with low likelihood of pregnancy. We set a sperm concentration of 40×106/mL as a reasonable threshold between subfertile and fertile men, since any higher sperm concentration was not associated with increased likelihood of pregnancy. However, the 95% CI around this threshold was broad and included a concentration of 20×106/mL—the upper limit of

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