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Are medical outliers associated with worse patient outcomes? A retrospective study within a regional NHS hospital using routine data
  1. Neophytos Stylianou1,2,
  2. Robin Fackrell2,
  3. Christos Vasilakis1
  1. 1Centre for Healthcare Innovation & Improvement (CHI2), School of Management, University of Bath, Bath, UK
  2. 2Royal United Hospitals Bath NHS Foundation Trust, Bath, UK
  1. Correspondence to Dr. Neophytos Stylianou; n.stylianou{at}bath.ac.uk and Prof. Christos Vasilakis; c.vasilakis{at}bath.ac.uk

Abstract

Objective To explore the quality and safety of patients’ healthcare provision by identifying whether being a medical outlier is associated with worse patient outcomes. A medical outlier is a hospital inpatient who is classified as a medical patient for an episode within a spell of care and has at least one non-medical ward placement within that spell.

Data sources Secondary data from the Patient Administration System of a district general hospital were provided for the financial years 2013/2014–2015/2016. The data included 71 038 medical patient spells for the 3-year period.

Study design This research was based on a retrospective, cross-sectional observational study design. Multivariate logistic regression and zero-truncated negative binomial regression were used to explore patient outcomes (in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality, readmissions and length of stay (LOS)) while adjusting for several confounding factors.

Principal findings Univariate analysis indicated that an outlying medical in-hospital patient has higher odds for readmission, double the odds of staying longer in the hospital but no significant difference in the odds of in-hospital and 30-day mortality. Multivariable analysis indicates that being a medical outlier does not affect mortality outcomes or readmission, but it does prolong LOS in the hospital.

Conclusions After adjusting for other factors, medical outliers are associated with an increased LOS while mortality or readmissions are not worse than patients treated in appropriate specialty wards. This is in line with existing but limited literature that such patients experience worse patient outcomes. Hospitals may need to revisit their policies regarding outlying patients as increased LOS is associated with an increased likelihood of harm events, worse quality of care and increased healthcare costs.

  • outlier
  • mortality
  • LOS
  • quality

This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt and build upon this work, for commercial use, provided the original work is properly cited. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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Footnotes

  • Contributors NS, RF and CV conceived the idea for the study. NS and CV designed the study. NS analysed all data and wrote the original manuscript in conjunction with CV. RF facilitated the acquisition of data and provided clinical expert guidance. All authors commented on the manuscript.

  • Funding The Researchers-in-Residence programme of research was funded by the Royal United Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust.

  • Competing interests We would like to declare that Robin Fackrell is the Head of Medical Division at the RUH Bath. Christos Vasilakis and Neophytos Stylianou both received funding form Royal United Hospitals of Bath NHS Trust to perform this research as part of the Researchers-in-Residence programme.

  • Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.

  • Data sharing statement Data were provided by the Business Intelligence Unit of Royal United Hospitals of Bath. As we cannot keep the data based on data sharing agreements in place, data can be requested by the provider if data sharing agreement requirements are met by recipient.