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Trends in the supply of California’s emergency departments and inpatient services, 2005–2014: a retrospective analysis
  1. Jessica L Chow1,
  2. Matthew J Niedzwiecki2,3,
  3. Renee Y Hsia2,3
  1. 1 UCSF/San Francisco General Hospital Emergency Medicine Residency Program, University of California at San Francisco, San Francisco, California, United States
  2. 2 Department of Emergency Medicine, University of California at San Francisco, San Francisco, California, United States
  3. 3 Philip R Lee Institute for Health Policy Studies, University of California at San Francisco, San Francisco, California, United States
  1. Correspondence to Dr Renee Y Hsia; renee.hsia{at}emergency.ucsf.edu

Abstract

Objectives Given increasing demand for emergency care, there is growing concern over the availability of emergency department (ED) and inpatient resources. Existing studies of ED bed supply are dated and often overlook hospital capacity beyond ED settings. We described recent statewide trends in the capacity of ED and inpatient hospital services from 2005 to 2014.

Design Retrospective analysis.

Setting Using California hospital data, we examined the absolute and per admission changes in ED beds and inpatient beds in all hospitals from 2005 to 2014.

Participants Our sample consisted of all patients inpatient and outpatient) from 501 hospital facilities over 10-year period.

Outcome measures We analysed linear trends in the total annual ED visits, ED beds, licensed and staffed inpatient hospital beds and bed types, ED beds per ED visit, and inpatient beds per admission (ED and non-ED).

Results Between 2005 and 2014, ED visits increased from 9.8 million to 13.2 million (an increase of 35.0%, p<0.001). ED beds also increased (by 29.8%, p<0.001), with an average annual increase of 195.4 beds. Despite this growth, ED beds per visit decreased by 3.9%, from 6.0 ED beds per 10 000 ED visits in 2005 to 5.8 beds in 2014 (p=0.01). While overall admission numbers declined by 4.9% (p=0.06), inpatient medical/surgical beds per visit grew by 11.3%, from 11.6 medical/surgical beds per 1000 admissions in 2005 to 12.9 beds in 2014 (p<0.001). However, there were reductions in psychiatric and chemical dependency beds per admission, by −15.3% (p<0.001) and −22.4% (p=0.05), respectively.

Conclusions These trends suggest that, in its current state, inadequate supply of ED and specific inpatient beds cannot keep pace with growing patient demand for acute care. Analysis of ED and inpatient supply should capture dynamic variations in patient demand. Our novel ‘beds pervisit’ metric offers improvements over traditional supply measures.

  • Organization of health services
  • health policy
  • quality in health care

This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/

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Footnotes

  • Contributor Study concept and design: RYH.

    Acquisition of data: RYH, MJN.

    Analysis and interpretation of data: RYH, JLC, MJN.

    Drafting of the manuscript: JLC.

    Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: RYH, MJN.

    Statistical analysis: MJN, JLC.

  • Competing interests None declared.

  • Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.

  • Data sharing statement The data used in this study are available through the California Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development (OSHPD). To request the data, e-mail HIRCNonPublic@oshpd.ca.gov.