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Examining mortality risk and rate of ageing among Polish Olympic athletes: a survival follow-up from 1924 to 2012
  1. Yuhui Lin1,2,
  2. Antoni Gajewski3,
  3. Anna Poznańska4
  1. 1Department of Art and Design Editorial, NaoRococo, Singapore, Singapore
  2. 2Department of Media Intelligence, Infotech Communications, Media OutReach, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
  3. 3The Podhale State Higher Vocational School in Nowy Targ, Institute of Tourism and Recreation, Nowy Targ, Poland
  4. 4National Institute of Public Health—National Institute of Hygiene, Centre for Monitoring and Analyses of Population Health Status, Warsaw, Poland
  1. Correspondence to Yuhui Lin; yuhui.linney{at}gmail.com

Abstract

Objectives Population-based studies have shown that an active lifestyle reduces mortality risk. Therefore, it has been a longstanding belief that individuals who engage in frequent exercise will experience a slower rate of ageing. It is uncertain whether this widely-accepted assumption holds for intense wear-and-tear. Here, using the 88 years survival follow-up data of Polish Olympic athletes, we report for the first time on whether frequent exercise alters the rate of ageing.

Design Longitudinal survival data of male elite Polish athletes who participated in the Olympic Games from year 1924 to 2010 were used. Deaths occurring before the end of World War II were excluded for reliable estimates.

Setting and participants Recruited male elite athletes N=1273 were preassigned to two categorical birth cohorts—Cohort I 1890–1919; Cohort II 1920–1959—and a parametric frailty survival analysis was conducted. An event-history analysis was also conducted to adjust for medical improvements from year 1920 onwards: Cohort II.

Results Our findings suggest (1) in Cohort I, for every threefold reduction in mortality risk, the rate of ageing decelerates by 1%; (2) socioeconomic transitions and interventions contribute to a reduction in mortality risk of 29% for the general population and 50% for Olympic athletes; (3) an optimum benefit gained for reducing the rate of ageing from competitive sports (Cohort I 0.086 (95% CI 0.047 to 0.157) and Cohort II 0.085 (95% CI 0.050 to 0.144)).

Conclusions This study further suggests that intensive physical training during youth should be considered as a factor to improve ageing and mortality risk parameters.

  • Frailty Survival Analysis
  • Parametric model
  • Unobserved Heterogeneity
  • Olympic Athletes
  • Aging

This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/

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